Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:03:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x675c…4341
sports · 451 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$553 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$204 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$436
Realized+$204
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses217 / 232
Est. fees paid−$456
Open positions2
Markets (closed)449 / 451
History coverage222d
Avg bet$82
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 2 History 449 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$113
7 days+$543
14 days+$1,729
30 days+$1,729
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) TheMongolz 37¢ 36¢ $340 $335 −$5 (-1%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 51¢ 52¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 51¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Draw at halftime? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) Nuggets 51¢ 0¢ $296 $0 −$296 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: Draw at halftime? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Netherlands 58¢ 0¢ $215 $0 −$215 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Lakers Rockets 52¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 36¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: Both Teams to Score Yes 53¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Gentle Mates 41¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 52¢ 0¢ $119 $0 −$119 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 56¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) 3DMAX 57¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 58¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Liquid 58¢ 0¢ $290 $0 −$290 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Gentle Mates 42¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Vitality 51¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$50 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$46 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$83 +160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$11 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$16 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$22 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$23 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $79 +$107 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$13 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$35 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$47 +182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$50 -96%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $253 −$250 -99%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$49 +119%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $233 −$230 -99%
1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 14 $481 +$408 +85%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $304 −$300 -99%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $506 +$50 +10%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $203 −$200 -99%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $508 −$500 -98%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $508 −$500 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $233 −$43 -18%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $707 +$948 +134%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $102 +$98 +97%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $304 +$204 +67%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $101 +$95 +93%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $101 +$91 +90%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 12 $92 −$90 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $102 +$98 +97%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $102 +$98 +97%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 11 $153 +$252 +165%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $101 +$95 +93%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $101 +$48 +48%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $102 +$102 +101%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $101 −$100 -99%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 10 $102 +$107 +105%
1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Jun 10 $87 −$86 -98%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $102 +$81 +79%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 10 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $53 −$31 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $53 +$1 +1%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $51 −$50 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 78% +$753
other 17% −$611
crypto 4% +$84
world 0% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY TheMongolz 37¢ $346 18m
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 51¢ $101 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $102 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $52 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $98 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $52 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $13 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $24 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $74 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $52 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $75 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $52 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $52 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $104 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $27 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $90 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $53 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $52 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $40 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $51 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $52 4h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 54¢ $253 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 22¢ $102 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 +1.1% -8.5% 51% 49% -5.3%
≤30d 136 +7.1% -3.1% 53% 51% -1.1%
≤90d 437 -2.6% -11.9% 48% 47% -9.1%
all 449 -1.4% -10.8% 48% 48% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.8% 48% -9.0%
10% -19.3% 47% -17.7%
15% -27.1% 46% -25.7%
20% -34.3% 44% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $436.39 · official $436.39 (match) · 758 history records