Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:35:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x6767…1e4e
crypto · 197 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$470 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$475 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$648
Realized−$475
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses142 / 39
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions16
Markets (closed)181 / 197
History coverage63d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day6.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 16 History 181 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$186
14 days−$131
30 days−$131
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will South Africa be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? Yes 80¢ 84¢ $193 $202 +$10 (+5%)
Will Iraq be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? Yes 90¢ 89¢ $180 $178 −$2 (-1%)
Will Curaçao be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? Yes 93¢ 92¢ $93 $92 −$0 (-1%)
Will France be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? No 98¢ 96¢ $47 $46 −$1 (-2%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $46 $46 +$0 (+0%)
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? No 83¢ 81¢ $21 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-1%)
Will Tunisia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? Yes 67¢ 63¢ $13 $13 −$1 (-6%)
Will Argentina be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? No 97¢ 97¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will Haiti be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? Yes 89¢ 86¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-3%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Under 98¢ 97¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Over 78¢ 78¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+19%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Under 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $4 +$1 +27%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $16 +$4 +25%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $5 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 12 $76 +$1 +2%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $8 +$1 +8%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 10 $606 −$192 -32%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 09 $712 +$3 +0%
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele Jun 04 $27 +$56 +208%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 04 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 20 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET May 19 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET May 19 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 18 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET May 18 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET May 18 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET May 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET May 15 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 11 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 11 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 11 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 11 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 11 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 11 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 11 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 11 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 11 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 11 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET May 10 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET May 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET May 09 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET May 08 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET May 08 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 08 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET May 08 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET May 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET May 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? May 07 $40 −$5 -13%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 07 $2 $0 -1%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 07 $6 +$3 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 76% −$457
other 12% +$4
crypto 10% −$25
sports 1% +$8
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 98¢ $5 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 78¢ $4 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $10 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners SELL Over 100¢ $5 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 95¢ $5 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 82¢ $4 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 13.5 Total Corners SELL Over 70¢ $4 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 13.5 Total Corners BUY Over 97¢ $5 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Under 77¢ $4 4h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 78¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 4h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 90¢ $5 19h
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? BUY No 83¢ $16 19h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 91¢ $9 20h
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? BUY No 83¢ $5 20h
Will France be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $47 20h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 20h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 20h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 20h
Will Argentina be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $10 20h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $46 20h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $16 21h
Will South Africa be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY Yes 81¢ $81 21h
Will South Africa be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY Yes 80¢ $88 21h
Will Haiti be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY Yes 89¢ $9 21h
Will Iraq be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY Yes 90¢ $44 21h
Will Iraq be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY Yes 90¢ $136 21h
Will Tunisia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY Yes 67¢ $14 21h
Will Curaçao be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY Yes 93¢ $93 21h
Will South Africa be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY Yes 80¢ $24 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -5.9% -14.9% 75% 33% -21.1%
≤30d 22 +6.4% -3.8% 82% 27% -17.5%
≤90d 181 -1.7% -11.0% 78% 29% -18.7%
all 181 -1.7% -11.0% 78% 29% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.0% 29% -18.7%
10% -19.5% 11% -26.5%
15% -27.3% 4% -33.6%
20% -34.4% 3% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $647.51 · official $647.52 (match) · 624 history records