trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -16.2% | -24.2% | 50% | 50% | -43.7% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 69% | 54% | -16.6% |
| all | 22 | -4.7% | -13.7% | 77% | 32% | -15.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.7% | 32% | -15.6% |
| 10% | -22.0% | 23% | -23.7% |
| 15% | -29.5% | 18% | -31.1% |
| 20% | -36.4% | 14% | -37.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Senegal (-2.5) | Iraq | 66¢ | 66¢ | $111 | $110 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $134 | −$131 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | Jun 08 | $51 | +$37 | +73% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 03 | $54 | −$53 | -99% |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 27 | $59 | +$36 | +62% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $87 | +$36 | +42% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 13 | $126 | +$35 | +27% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | May 12 | $28 | +$15 | +55% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | May 12 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | May 12 | $11 | +$2 | +19% |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 50% by March 31? | May 12 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | May 12 | $34 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | May 12 | $64 | +$7 | +11% |
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers Le | May 07 | $40 | −$40 | -99% |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 26 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 39°F or below on March 11? | Mar 26 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Mar 26 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)? | Mar 26 | $18 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alibaba have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 03 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft reach $645 in January? | Feb 03 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 03 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | Jan 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition | Jan 10 | $22 | $0 | +0% |