Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:24:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x6784…7565
crypto · 437 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$974 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$974 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$974
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses190 / 247
Open positions0
Markets (closed)437 / 437
History coverage9d
Avg bet$53
Trades / day313.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 437 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$196
14 days−$974
30 days−$974
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $134 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $153 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $255 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $80 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $127 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $35 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $37 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $139 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $68 −$8 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $202 +$68 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $207 −$27 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $108 +$35 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $152 −$32 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $155 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $156 −$11 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $202 −$7 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $240 −$10 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $136 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $134 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $69 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $19 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $25 −$5 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $32 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $63 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $61 −$6 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $137 −$42 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $18 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $44 +$6 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$974
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-41.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 184 -14.2% -22.3% 41% 8% -12.3%
≤30d 437 -35.0% -41.2% 43% 5% -13.4%
≤90d 437 -35.0% -41.2% 43% 5% -13.4%
all 437 -35.0% -41.2% 43% 5% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover313.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -41.2% 5% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -46.8% 3% -21.7%
15% -51.9% 2% -29.2%
20% -56.7% 1% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records