Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:41:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x6787…6044
other · 489 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4,752 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,122 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$82
Realized+$5,122
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses415 / 81
Whale WR (big bets)96%
Est. fees paid−$619
Open positions1
Markets (closed)496 / 489
History coverage31d
Avg bet$901
Trades / day105.3
Drawdown43%
Kalshi-fit45%
Chart Positions 1 History 496 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,622
7 days−$1,566
14 days−$756
30 days+$4,995
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-06-14? No 86¢ 88¢ $80 $82 +$2 (+2%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming Youth Team 70¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B FURIA 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana ThunderTalk Gaming 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04? No 93¢ 0¢ $159 $0 −$159 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A FUT Esports 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 75¢ 0¢ $750 $0 −$750 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 94¢ 0¢ $2,996 $0 −$2,996 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Vitality 87¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-03? Yes 97¢ 0¢ $720 $0 −$720 (-100%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner LNG Esports 65¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Haruka Kaji Haruka Kaji 30¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Power Rangers 90¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner LGD Gaming 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 69¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Team Falcons 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-05-16? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B Jun 14 $2 −$4 -158%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jun 14 $6 −$8 -134%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $0 −$11 -3174%
Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Haruka Kaji Jun 14 $0 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-05-16? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman Jun 14 $501 +$9 +2%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 14 $281 −$6 -2%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $63 +$6 +9%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Jun 14 $4,256 +$295 +7%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,433 +$103 +7%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $1,363 −$354 -26%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $756 −$750 -99%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $905 +$36 +4%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $3,064 −$487 -16%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1,760 +$220 +12%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1,764 +$1,002 +57%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $505 −$119 -24%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2,996 −$2,996 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $511 +$26 +5%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr Jun 13 $501 −$119 -24%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $91 −$8 -9%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $160 +$2 +1%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $152 +$29 +19%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $50 +$8 +16%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2,336 +$1,398 +60%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2,476 +$48 +2%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $969 +$48 +5%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $731 +$11 +2%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2,994 +$409 +14%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,966 −$1,863 -95%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3,317 +$108 +3%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $247 +$38 +15%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,356 +$207 +6%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,605 +$146 +4%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,462 +$57 +4%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $853 +$65 +8%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $315 +$141 +45%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $337 −$50 -15%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,561 +$89 +6%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,970 +$30 +2%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $135 +$15 +11%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,582 +$133 +8%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $488 +$8 +2%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $2,154 +$44 +2%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2,130 +$11 +0%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,186 +$100 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 59% +$1,541
sports 41% +$3,549
world 0% +$64
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 86¢ $81 19m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman SELL Zeynep Sonmez 95¢ $5 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman SELL Zeynep Sonmez 95¢ $505 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman BUY Zeynep Sonmez 93¢ $501 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch SELL Martin Landaluce 89¢ $275 2h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch BUY Martin Landaluce 90¢ $181 2h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch BUY Martin Landaluce 92¢ $100 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $37 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 86¢ $31 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 87¢ $50 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar SELL Anna Blinkova 100¢ $1,818 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 78¢ $13 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 99¢ $256 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 99¢ $189 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 99¢ $6 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 99¢ $495 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 99¢ $50 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 99¢ $292 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar SELL Anna Blinkova 87¢ $77 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar SELL Anna Blinkova 87¢ $10 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar SELL Anna Blinkova 84¢ $172 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar SELL Anna Blinkova 81¢ $219 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar SELL Anna Blinkova 81¢ $4 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar SELL Anna Blinkova 75¢ $819 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 70¢ $181 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 73¢ $221 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 75¢ $1,242 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar SELL Anna Blinkova 60¢ $163 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar SELL Anna Blinkova 60¢ $120 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar SELL Anna Blinkova 60¢ $3 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 106 +3.3% -6.6% 75% 15% -10.8%
≤30d 485 -0.7% -10.1% 84% 14% -8.5%
≤90d 496 +0.1% -9.4% 84% 14% -8.4%
all 496 +0.1% -9.4% 84% 14% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover105.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 14% -8.4%
10% -18.1% 4% -17.2%
15% ← realistic here -26.0% 3% -25.2%
20% -33.3% 2% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $82.29 · official $82.29 (match) · 3500 history records