Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:11:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x6799…e596
sports · 12 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$1 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses5 / 7
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)12 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day26.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 0 History 12 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $19 +$6 +29%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$4 -42%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -42%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 $0 -4%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $8 −$7 -80%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$1 -12%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$7 +360%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$8 +387%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 67% +$17
other 33% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $24 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 76¢ $19 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 17¢ $2 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 44¢ $5 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 63¢ $5 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 47¢ $4 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $5 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 5h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $10 9h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 91¢ $14 12h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 64¢ $10 12h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Team WE 24¢ $4 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 26¢ $5 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Team WE 99¢ $9 14h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 21¢ $2 14h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 75¢ $10 15h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 15¢ $2 15h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Team WE $1 16h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 81¢ $8 16h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster $1 17h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 79¢ $8 17h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster $2 18h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL KT Rolster $2 18h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 27¢ $5 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+23.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +36.5% +23.5% 42% 33% -8.0%
≤30d 12 +36.5% +23.5% 42% 33% -8.0%
≤90d 12 +36.5% +23.5% 42% 33% -8.0%
all 12 +36.5% +23.5% 42% 33% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +23.5% 33% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here +11.7% 33% -16.8%
15% +0.9% 25% -24.9%
20% -9.0% 17% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 29 history records