Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T22:54:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
67 0x679a…8749 crypto 291 markets active 15h ago coverage 152d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big⚠ Covers last 151d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover! loses its big bets
Total PnL −$1,552 (-6%) realized −$1,552 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate92%267W / 24L
Whale WR22%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$95per market
Trades / day20.5pace
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$335
7 days−$334
14 days−$334
30 days−$334
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$540
other 4% −$67
politics 0% −$5
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 267 -0.9% -10.3% 96% 0% -11.2%
≤30d 267 -0.9% -10.3% 96% 0% -11.2%
≤90d 267 -0.9% -10.3% 96% 0% -11.2%
all 291 -0.2% -9.7% 92% 2% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover20.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 2% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 1% -20.0%
15% -26.2% 1% -27.7%
20% -33.5% 1% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 39% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 22% (≥$500) wins small, loses big bets
Persistence
early +3% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
7.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$60 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.58 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

152d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,552
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses267 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)22%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)291 / 291
History coverage152d ⚠
Avg bet$95
Trades / day20.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 291 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 24 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 24 $200 −$200 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 24 $49 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 24 $60 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 24 $90 +$2 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 24 $33 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 24 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 24 $111 −$111 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 24 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 24 $200 +$4 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 24 $200 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 24 $150 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 24 $55 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 24 $90 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 24 $75 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 24 $72 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 24 $200 +$4 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 24 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 24 $150 +$3 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 24 $33 −$33 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 24 $25 +$1 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 24 $200 +$4 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 24 $60 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 24 $90 −$90 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 24 $200 +$4 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 24 $90 +$2 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 24 $54 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 24 $45 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 24 $62 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 24 $150 +$3 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 24 $45 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 24 $60 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 24 $60 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 24 $199 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 24 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 24 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 24 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 24 $100 +$2 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 24 $100 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $74 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $0 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $0 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $0 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $31 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $27 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $28 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $57 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $60 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $11 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $22 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $60 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $51 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $200 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $90 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $200 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records