Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:07:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x679c…afff
crypto · 99 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$26,069 -493%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$152 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$152
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses43 / 53
Open positions4
Markets (closed)96 / 99
History coverage1d
Avg bet$53
Trades / day2373.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 96 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$152
7 days−$152
14 days−$152
30 days−$152
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET Down 58¢ 55¢ $9 $8 −$0 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 46¢ 50¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Up 92¢ 98¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-94%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $136 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $47 −$20 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$10 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $111 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $110 −$10 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $91 +$14 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET Jun 14 $58 +$23 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $71 +$11 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$4 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $79 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$4 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 14 $181 −$89 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $185 +$12 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Jun 13 $145 −$22 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$8 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $87 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$152
other 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-26.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 -18.6% -26.3% 45% 29% -12.1%
≤30d 96 -18.6% -26.3% 45% 29% -12.1%
≤90d 96 -18.6% -26.3% 45% 29% -12.1%
all 96 -18.6% -26.3% 45% 29% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2373.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.3% 29% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -33.4% 22% -20.6%
15% -39.8% 11% -28.2%
20% -45.7% 9% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.31 · official $18.31 (match) · 3500 history records