Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x67a4…32a8
sports · 4 markets active 1h ago
5.0score
+$6,373 +52%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12,080 · open −$5,706
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$3,294
Realized+$12,080
Unrealized−$5,706
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Est. fees paid−$261
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3,043
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12,080
7 days+$12,080
14 days+$12,080
30 days+$12,080
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 31¢ 24¢ $3,000 $2,274 −$726 (-24%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 28¢ 10¢ $3,000 $1,015 −$1,985 (-66%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 30¢ $3,000 $5 −$2,995 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2,981 +$12,080 +405%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$6,373
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+357.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +405.2% +357.1% 100% 100% +357.1%
≤30d 1 +405.2% +357.1% 100% 100% +357.1%
≤90d 1 +405.2% +357.1% 100% 100% +357.1%
all 1 +405.2% +357.1% 100% 100% +357.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +357.1% 100% +357.1%
10% ← realistic here +313.3% 100% +313.3%
15% +273.4% 100% +273.4%
20% +236.8% 100% +236.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,293.82 · official $3,293.82 (match) · 9 history records