Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:39:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x67ad…f2d4
crypto · 133 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$3 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses124 / 2
Open positions7
Markets (closed)126 / 133
History coverage10d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day13.6
Drawdown54%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 7 History 126 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? No 96¢ 97¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 14? No 96¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? No 98¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 14? No 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14? No 97¢ 97¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 14? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? No 97¢ 95¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will XRP reach $1.15 on June 11? No 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 13? Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 13? Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 13? Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Will XRP dip to $1.10 on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Will XRP reach $1.20 on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.10 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$2
politics 1% $0
sports 1% $0
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY No 96¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $1 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? BUY No 97¢ $1 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14? BUY No 97¢ $1 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $1 3h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 13? BUY No 95¢ $1 7h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $1 12h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 14? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 13h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 14? BUY No 96¢ $1 13h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $1 14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 91¢ $1 14h
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $1 15h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $1 16h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $1 16h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 16h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $1 17h
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $1 18h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $1 22h
Will XRP dip to $1.10 on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $1 38h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $1 39h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 94¢ $1 39h
Will XRP reach $1.20 on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $1 40h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $1 41h
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 12? BUY No 96¢ $1 41h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $1 41h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 93¢ $1 42h
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $1 45h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $1 45h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 12? BUY Yes 96¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 122 +1.2% -8.4% 98% 0% -8.4%
≤30d 126 +1.2% -8.4% 98% 0% -8.4%
≤90d 126 +1.2% -8.4% 98% 0% -8.4%
all 126 +1.2% -8.4% 98% 0% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.4% 0% -8.4%
10% -17.2% 0% -17.1%
15% -25.2% 0% -25.1%
20% -32.5% 0% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.31 · official $7.32 (match) · 260 history records