Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:13:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x67af…61ee
sports · 195 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9,744 -48%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,927 · open −$155
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,268
Realized+$1,927
Unrealized−$155
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses77 / 56
Est. fees paid−$196
Open positions85
Markets (closed)133 / 195
History coverage1d
Avg bet$104
Trades / day3082.2
Drawdown28%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 85 History 133 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,927
7 days+$1,927
14 days+$1,927
30 days+$1,927
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 65¢ 61¢ $258 $242 −$15 (-6%)
Will Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO? No 58¢ 61¢ $211 $221 +$10 (+5%)
Will the fight be won by submission? No 76¢ 80¢ $195 $205 +$10 (+5%)
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 66¢ 100¢ $128 $194 +$66 (+51%)
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO? No 83¢ 84¢ $173 $175 +$3 (+2%)
Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO? No 74¢ 76¢ $164 $169 +$5 (+3%)
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? No 30¢ 31¢ $111 $115 +$4 (+4%)
Will Michael Chandler win by KO or TKO? No 85¢ 89¢ $95 $99 +$4 (+5%)
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO? No 61¢ 62¢ $95 $97 +$2 (+2%)
Fight to Go the Distance? No 78¢ 84¢ $90 $97 +$7 (+8%)
Fight to Go the Distance? No 59¢ 62¢ $85 $89 +$4 (+5%)
Will Mauricio Ruffy win by KO or TKO? No 30¢ 30¢ $82 $85 +$2 (+3%)
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? Yes 91¢ 98¢ $73 $78 +$5 (+7%)
Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 69¢ 76¢ $70 $77 +$7 (+10%)
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 94¢ 86¢ $82 $76 −$7 (-8%)
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 98¢ 98¢ $73 $73 −$0 (-0%)
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears Doosan Bears 54¢ 60¢ $58 $64 +$6 (+10%)
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz Lotte Giants 50¢ 51¢ $60 $61 +$1 (+2%)
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO? No 45¢ 46¢ $55 $57 +$1 (+2%)
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Toronto KOI 76¢ 50¢ $75 $49 −$26 (-34%)
Will the fight be won by submission? No 84¢ 89¢ $43 $46 +$3 (+6%)
Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 96¢ 100¢ $42 $44 +$2 (+4%)
Will Keith Mitchell win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 98¢ 99¢ $39 $40 +$0 (+1%)
Will GV CD San José win on 2026-05-22? No 62¢ 65¢ $34 $35 +$1 (+4%)
Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 97¢ 96¢ $32 $32 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Jun 14 $427 +$101 +24%
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gran Jun 14 $266 +$144 +54%
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Jun 14 $521 +$15 +3%
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 14 $63 −$3 -6%
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $36 +$12 +33%
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Catalunya G Jun 14 $18 −$3 -18%
Will George Russell achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Catalunya G Jun 14 $36 −$33 -92%
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Catalunya G Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gran Jun 14 $23 −$21 -90%
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gra Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gran Jun 14 $330 −$252 -76%
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gran Jun 14 $54 −$17 -32%
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Jun 14 $130 +$2 +1%
Will Mclaren Mastercard have the highest constructor score at the 2026 Jun 14 $15 +$2 +13%
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $38 +$17 +46%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $234 −$12 -5%
Will CD Concepción win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $123 +$1 +0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $56 −$22 -40%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 14 $70 −$59 -84%
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Jun 14 $101 +$4 +4%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CD Limache win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $28 $0 +2%
Will CD Concepción vs. CD Limache end in a draw? Jun 14 $139 +$13 +9%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $140 −$89 -63%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan Jun 14 $95 +$2 +2%
Paris Basketball vs. Monaco Jun 14 $129 $0 +0%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners Jun 14 $25 +$24 +95%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 Corners Jun 14 $40 +$5 +12%
Spread: Germany (-4.5) Jun 14 $98 +$64 +65%
Spread: Germany (-5.5) Jun 14 $60 +$167 +277%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $122 +$5 +4%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $114 −$114 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $17 +$3 +19%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $24 −$8 -32%
Hapoel Galil Elyon vs. Maccabi Raanana Jun 14 $36 +$14 +40%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Ser Jun 14 $120 +$42 +35%
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $36 −$26 -71%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $103 −$5 -5%
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Catalu Jun 14 $13 +$91 +710%
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 14 $336 +$22 +7%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $357 −$7 -2%
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $29 +$9 +30%
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $7 +$2 +26%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin Jun 14 $129 −$107 -83%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $282 +$18 +6%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $395 −$132 -34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 63% +$1,625
other 37% +$156
culture 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Jimmy Stanger win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes 8¢ $2 1m
Will Jimmy Stanger win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 1m
Will Jimmy Stanger win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes 8¢ $2 1m
Will Jimmy Stanger win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 1m
Will Jimmy Stanger win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes 8¢ $2 1m
Will Jimmy Stanger win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes 8¢ $2 2m
Will Jimmy Stanger win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes 8¢ $2 2m
Will Jimmy Stanger win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 2m
Will Jackson Suber win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 2m
Will Jimmy Stanger win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes 10¢ $2 2m
Will Jimmy Stanger win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 2m
Will Jimmy Stanger win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes 10¢ $2 2m
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO? BUY No 43¢ $4 5m
Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO? BUY No 68¢ $21 5m
Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 46¢ $9 8m
Will Jackson Suber win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes 21¢ $1 9m
Will Jackson Suber win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes 21¢ $1 9m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stag SELL Ursa 76¢ $10 10m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stag BUY Ursa 89¢ $2 10m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stag BUY Ursa 89¢ $22 10m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stag BUY GenOne 18¢ $1 10m
Will Jackson Suber win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes 21¢ $2 10m
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO? BUY No 40¢ $3 10m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stag SELL GenOne 18¢ $4 11m
Will Jimmy Stanger win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes 17¢ $1 12m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stag SELL Ursa 91¢ $7 12m
Will Jimmy Stanger win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes 17¢ $1 12m
Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL No 64¢ $3 13m
Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL No 64¢ $10 13m
Will Jimmy Stanger win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 13m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)+2.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 133 +13.3% +2.5% 58% 47% +1.4%
≤30d 133 +13.3% +2.5% 58% 47% +1.4%
≤90d 133 +13.3% +2.5% 58% 47% +1.4%
all 133 +13.3% +2.5% 58% 47% +1.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3082.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.5% 47% +1.4%
10% ← realistic here -7.3% 37% -8.3%
15% -16.2% 27% -17.2%
20% -24.4% 20% -25.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,267.91 · official $3,267.31 (match) · 3500 history records