Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:44:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x67bc…3503
sports · 92 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$16 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$255
Realized−$16
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses22 / 15
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions55
Markets (closed)37 / 92
History coverage3d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day30.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 55 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 43¢ 100¢ $5 $12 +$7 (+132%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 75¢ 74¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 73¢ 70¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes 62¢ 65¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+5%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 76¢ 79¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+4%)
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 64¢ 72¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+12%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? No 62¢ 63¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) Steve Garcia 43¢ 44¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? No 57¢ 57¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 66¢ 66¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No 95¢ 95¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? No 90¢ 90¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? No 92¢ 92¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? No 89¢ 88¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? No 92¢ 92¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? No 83¢ 82¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? No 83¢ 82¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? No 82¢ 81¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 78¢ 78¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 76¢ 76¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 73¢ 72¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 68¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 67¢ 66¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 +$3 +57%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$2 +17%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $10 +$8 +83%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $10 −$10 -99%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Türkiye leading at halftime? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +24%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 $0 +32%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 43% −$13
other 39% −$8
world 13% $0
finance 3% $0
politics 1% $0
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel BUY Diane Parry 62¢ $5 5m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 83¢ $5 37m
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 52¢ $5 58m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $5 58m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 54¢ $5 58m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Australia 64¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 58¢ $5 1h
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 57¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 58¢ $5 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 81¢ $5 3h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 46¢ $5 3h
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) BUY Chicago Cubs 97¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 51¢ $5 3h
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? BUY No 95¢ $5 5h
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 80¢ $5 6h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 82¢ $5 6h
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 89¢ $5 6h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 68¢ $5 6h
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 79¢ $5 6h
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary ele BUY Yes 85¢ $5 6h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 75¢ $5 6h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 62¢ $5 6h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? BUY No 83¢ $5 6h
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Car BUY Steve Garcia 43¢ $5 6h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY Yes 88¢ $5 6h
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY No 92¢ $5 6h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 75¢ $5 6h
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Josh Hokit 79¢ $5 6h
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ju BUY No 92¢ $5 6h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? BUY No 90¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-25.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -17.7% -25.6% 59% 49% -23.6%
≤30d 37 -17.7% -25.6% 59% 49% -23.6%
≤90d 37 -17.7% -25.6% 59% 49% -23.6%
all 37 -17.7% -25.6% 59% 49% -23.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.6% 49% -23.6%
10% ← realistic here -32.7% 43% -30.9%
15% -39.2% 22% -37.6%
20% -45.2% 19% -43.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $255.34 · official $255.34 (match) · 132 history records