trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | -50.7% | -55.4% | 16% | 16% | -78.5% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -47.2% | -52.2% | 20% | 20% | -78.4% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -39.1% | -44.9% | 23% | 23% | -75.3% |
| all | 27 | -33.7% | -40.0% | 30% | 30% | -61.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -40.0% | 30% | -61.8% |
| 10% | -45.7% | 22% | -65.4% |
| 15% | -51.0% | 19% | -68.8% |
| 20% | -55.8% | 15% | -71.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Iraq? | Yes | 14¢ | 28¢ | $5 | $10 | +$5 (+96%) |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq? | Yes | 17¢ | 24¢ | $5 | $7 | +$2 (+41%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $48 | −$1 | -1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Players vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 | Jun 22 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? | Jun 22 | $50 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19? | Jun 22 | $140 | −$140 | -100% |
| Will PAOK win on 2026-02-19? | Jun 22 | $140 | −$140 | -100% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 22 | $251 | −$251 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? | Jun 22 | $249 | −$249 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | Jun 22 | $224 | −$224 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? | Jun 22 | $259 | −$259 | -100% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | Jun 22 | $349 | −$349 | -100% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 22 | $244 | −$244 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Jun 22 | $283 | −$283 | -100% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 22 | $76 | −$76 | -100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 22 | $697 | −$697 | -100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $21 | +$9 | +46% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $142 | +$522 | +367% |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $11 | +$3 | +30% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $10 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $4 | +$1 | +18% |
| Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the | May 04 | $894 | −$858 | -96% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28? | Apr 28 | $127 | +$229 | +180% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21? | Feb 28 | $74 | −$74 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | Feb 25 | $489 | +$383 | +78% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | Feb 21 | $1 | $0 | +13% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | Feb 21 | $1 | +$1 | +59% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? | Jan 10 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |