Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:59:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x67c4…f0a4
sports · 161 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$10,968 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11,002 · open −$2,592
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$226
Realized−$11,002
Unrealized−$2,592
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses64 / 94
Whale WR (big bets)48%
Est. fees paid−$638
Open positions3
Markets (closed)158 / 161
History coverage161d
Avg bet$525
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 158 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,637
7 days+$1,623
14 days+$1,420
30 days+$426
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 50¢ 12¢ $969 $222 −$747 (-77%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 27¢ 0¢ $1,449 $3 −$1,446 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 18¢ 0¢ $400 $1 −$399 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A PARIVISION 55¢ 0¢ $849 $0 −$849 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B NRG 24¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Wildcard LAN Playoffs THUNDER dOWNUNDER 48¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Brisbane International: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Perricard 53¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stage MIBR Academy 44¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Monte 21¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs G2 25¢ 0¢ $1,779 $0 −$1,779 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Monte (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs Monte 45¢ 0¢ $1,464 $0 −$1,464 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A Natus Vincere 27¢ 0¢ $571 $0 −$571 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B Team Falcons 57¢ 0¢ $872 $0 −$872 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B NIP 55¢ 0¢ $443 $0 −$443 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) Lakers 47¢ 0¢ $990 $0 −$990 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner JiJieHao 43¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage BC.Game Esports 48¢ 0¢ $221 $0 −$221 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winner Team Falcons 61¢ 0¢ $1,644 $0 −$1,644 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winner ASTRAL 41¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Vitality 44¢ 0¢ $560 $0 −$560 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 13¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Corentin Moutet 38¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #3 Playoffs AaB Esport 35¢ 0¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner PARIVISION 58¢ 0¢ $728 $0 −$728 (-100%)
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 Over 74¢ 0¢ $3,000 $0 −$3,000 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $983 +$972 +99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1,012 +$1,022 +101%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $98 −$95 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $193 −$190 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $33 −$32 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $124 −$122 -98%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $42 +$82 +194%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 10 $14 −$14 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $206 −$203 -99%
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner May 28 $1,209 −$1,203 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 28 $715 +$230 +32%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winner May 28 $204 +$196 +96%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner May 28 $202 +$137 +68%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Serie May 28 $271 −$165 -61%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winner May 28 $295 +$322 +109%
Counter-Strike: HereWeGoAgain vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Se May 18 $46 −$45 -98%
Geneva Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Edas Butvilas May 18 $13 +$17 +129%
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard May 18 $21 +$8 +38%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner May 18 $636 +$341 +54%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winner May 17 $969 −$969 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner May 17 $457 +$187 +41%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner May 17 $238 +$205 +86%
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner May 17 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 1 Winner May 17 $146 +$103 +71%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner May 16 $219 −$214 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner May 15 $269 −$269 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner May 15 $264 +$225 +85%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner May 11 $1,728 −$1,694 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 11 $2,047 −$2,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 1 Winner May 11 $205 −$200 -97%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner May 11 $913 −$900 -99%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nemiga (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Seri May 11 $760 +$872 +115%
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America S May 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 G May 10 $127 −$125 -98%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group St May 10 $1,525 +$1,824 +120%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Lavked - Map 2 Winner May 10 $1,249 +$1,098 +88%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 10 $499 +$750 +150%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner May 10 $399 −$394 -99%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 1 Winner May 10 $102 −$100 -98%
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) May 10 $1,006 −$990 -98%
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) May 09 $1,725 −$1,684 -98%
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winner May 09 $611 −$600 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 May 09 $896 +$1,447 +162%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz May 09 $102 −$100 -98%
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce May 08 $998 −$984 -98%
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 May 06 $3,024 −$3,000 -99%
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce May 06 $4,189 +$3,258 +78%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 15 $569 −$560 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Apr 15 $230 +$339 +147%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Apr 06 $737 −$728 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$13,365
world 1% +$103
finance 1% −$237
other 0% −$95
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 40¢ $136 28m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 40¢ $3 28m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 40¢ $2 28m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 40¢ $72 28m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 40¢ $14 29m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 40¢ $43 29m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 56¢ $709 42m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 42¢ $814 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 55¢ $424 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 55¢ $214 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 55¢ $108 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 55¢ $244 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 18¢ $410 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 67¢ $332 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 33¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 33¢ $82 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 33¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 33¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 33¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 33¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 33¢ $26 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 64¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 63¢ $277 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 45¢ $203 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 19¢ $1,014 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $1,955 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $2,034 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $983 4h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $1,012 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 22¢ $98 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -13.3% -21.5% 38% 38% +49.4%
≤30d 27 -2.2% -11.5% 52% 52% -5.2%
≤90d 91 -14.8% -22.9% 43% 42% -20.4%
all 158 -10.4% -19.0% 41% 39% -21.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.0% 39% -21.9%
10% -26.7% 38% -29.3%
15% -33.8% 37% -36.2%
20% -40.3% 35% -42.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $226.08 · official $226.08 (match) · 327 history records