Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:37:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x67ce…100f
sports · 133 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
−$2,239 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,600 · open +$29
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$300
Realized−$2,600
Unrealized+$29
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses58 / 68
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$266
Open positions7
Markets (closed)126 / 133
History coverage96d
Avg bet$258
Trades / day3.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 7 History 126 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$690
7 days+$757
14 days+$815
30 days+$815
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 49¢ 74¢ $90 $137 +$47 (+52%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 58¢ 56¢ $100 $97 −$3 (-3%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 34¢ 30¢ $50 $44 −$6 (-12%)
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-13%)
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 3¢ 1¢ $10 $2 −$8 (-76%)
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-17%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 35¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 42¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 51¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 36¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner B8 60¢ 0¢ $236 $0 −$236 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 70¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Will TYLOO win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 48¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Vitality 41¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 83¢ 0¢ $1,587 $0 −$1,587 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $202 −$61 -30%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $25 +$13 +52%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $102 +$142 +139%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4,438 +$1,280 +29%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $3,256 +$1,182 +36%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,801 −$1,587 -88%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $101 +$42 +41%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $101 −$21 -21%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $252 −$250 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $102 −$14 -14%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $101 −$4 -4%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $106 +$37 +35%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $51 −$15 -29%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 12 $51 +$25 +49%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $252 +$120 +48%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $172 +$94 +55%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $51 +$47 +93%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $152 +$116 +76%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $101 +$27 +27%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 10 $76 −$30 -39%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $51 −$2 -5%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 10 $76 −$75 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $930 +$670 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $26 −$8 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 09 $26 +$2 +8%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $609 −$600 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $61 −$60 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $153 −$150 -98%
Will TYLOO win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $506 +$326 +64%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $238 −$236 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $296 −$114 -38%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $194 +$17 +8%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $101 −$74 -73%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $15 +$23 +153%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $25 +$16 +62%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $50 +$19 +38%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 29 $1,906 −$220 -12%
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 15 $10 +$28 +285%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Apr 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Apr 11 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Apr 11 $366 −$366 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Apr 11 $23 −$23 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playof Apr 11 $7 −$4 -58%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoff Apr 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Apr 11 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Apr 11 $52 −$52 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 78% −$2,015
crypto 22% −$553
other 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 48¢ $141 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 43¢ $41 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 58¢ $101 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 67¢ $202 11h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 34¢ $51 14h
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 14h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 100¢ $244 14h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 65¢ $25 14h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 41¢ $102 17h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 100¢ $5,718 19h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 77¢ $4,438 25h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 99¢ $4,438 25h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 72¢ $3,256 39h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 83¢ $1,596 43h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 18¢ $2 43h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 41¢ $51 43h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 16¢ $188 43h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 17¢ $102 43h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 16¢ $103 43h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $143 44h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 56¢ $80 44h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $151 46h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 44¢ $87 2d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $102 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 57¢ $97 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 58¢ $101 2d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $117 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 35¢ $20 2d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 36¢ $36 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -16.5% -24.5% 43% 38% -4.8%
≤30d 40 -9.0% -17.6% 48% 42% -4.5%
≤90d 124 -13.1% -21.4% 46% 43% -16.4%
all 126 -12.7% -21.0% 46% 43% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.0% 43% -16.5%
10% -28.5% 37% -24.5%
15% -35.4% 28% -31.8%
20% -41.8% 21% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $300.14 · official $300.16 (match) · 357 history records