Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:45:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
67 0x67d3…efcd crypto 50 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (99 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$26 (-2%) realized −$26 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate44%22W / 28L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day99.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (99 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -5.5% -14.5% 44% 42% -10.6%
≤30d 50 -5.5% -14.5% 44% 42% -10.6%
≤90d 50 -5.5% -14.5% 44% 42% -10.6%
all 50 -5.5% -14.5% 44% 42% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover99.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 42% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 40% -19.2%
15% -30.1% 38% -27.0%
20% -37.0% 34% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 29% · top 2 39% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -13% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$18 vs −$15 · ×1.19 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses22 / 28
Open positions0
Markets (closed)50 / 50
History coverage1d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day99.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 50 Trades
no open positions (20 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $41 +$37 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $41 −$19 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $26 +$13 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $47 −$28 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$7 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $47 +$22 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $52 −$10 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 17 $41 +$36 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $52 −$12 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $206 +$115 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $83 −$80 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $40 −$12 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $41 +$33 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $78 −$40 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$9 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$13 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $41 +$30 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$9 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$17 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$4 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $31 +$12 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$9 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$10 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$3 +308%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$7 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $41 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $21 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $11 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $41 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $29 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $21 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $18 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $41 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $67 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $41 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $78 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $41 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $37 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 103 history records