trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | Yes | 45¢ | 54¢ | $3,764 | $4,538 | +$774 (+21%) |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? | Yes | 15¢ | 18¢ | $2,120 | $2,475 | +$355 (+17%) |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $1,248 | $1,040 | −$208 (-17%) |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $1,000 | $850 | −$150 (-15%) |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | Yes | 33¢ | 26¢ | $355 | $274 | −$81 (-23%) |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-3%) |
| MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. T1 | T1 | 30¢ | 0¢ | $903 | $0 | −$903 (-100%) |
| Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational? | No | 36¢ | 0¢ | $1,000 | $0 | −$1,000 (-100%) |
| Will CTBC Flying Oyster win LoL Worlds 2025? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $86 | $0 | −$86 (-100%) |
| League of Legends: Gen.G vs. T1 | T1 | 40¢ | 0¢ | $552 | $0 | −$552 (-100%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 27? | Up | 0¢ | 0¢ | $16 | $0 | −$16 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 27? | Jan 28 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025? | Nov 09 | $2,052 | +$3,424 | +167% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | Nov 02 | $150 | −$60 | -40% |
| Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025? | Nov 02 | $108 | +$6 | +6% |
| Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025? | Nov 02 | $71 | +$603 | +846% |
| Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025? | Nov 01 | $431 | −$49 | -11% |
| Will CTBC Flying Oyster win LoL Worlds 2025? | Oct 29 | $100 | −$94 | -95% |
| League of Legends: Gen.G vs. T1 | Aug 07 | $552 | −$552 | -100% |
| Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational? | Jul 12 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Anyone's Legend | Jul 12 | $940 | +$625 | +66% |
| MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. T1 | Jul 10 | $903 | −$903 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 11 | +48.5% | +34.3% | 36% | 27% | +19.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +34.3% | 27% | +19.0% |
| 10% | +21.5% | 27% | +7.6% |
| 15% | +9.7% | 27% | -2.8% |
| 20% | -1.0% | 27% | -12.3% |