trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -13.6% | -21.8% | 50% | 50% | +10.3% |
| ≤30d | 89 | -11.2% | -19.7% | 49% | 49% | -22.0% |
| ≤90d | 377 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 48% | 48% | -4.6% |
| all | 380 | -6.0% | -14.9% | 48% | 48% | -4.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.9% | 48% | -4.0% |
| 10% | -23.1% | 44% | -13.1% |
| 15% | -30.5% | 41% | -21.5% |
| 20% | -37.3% | 34% | -29.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | Netherlands | 60¢ | 58¢ | $40 | $39 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 41¢ | 40¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | Jun 29 | $8 | −$8 | -99% |
| Kai Havertz: 1+ goals | Jun 29 | $5 | +$8 | +158% |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score | Jun 29 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Florian Wirtz: 1+ goals | Jun 29 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Deniz Undav: 1+ goals | Jun 29 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | Jun 29 | $61 | +$25 | +42% |
| South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance | Jun 28 | $58 | +$22 | +38% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ goals | Jun 28 | $5 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $22 | +$16 | +70% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $82 | +$13 | +16% |
| Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $20 | +$23 | +113% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $65 | −$64 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $70 | −$69 | -99% |
| Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals | Jun 21 | $19 | −$19 | -98% |
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Jun 21 | $35 | +$34 | +99% |
| Alex Baena: 1+ goals | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Nico Williams: 1+ goals | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $23 | +$11 | +48% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $25 | +$14 | +56% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals | Jun 20 | $30 | +$23 | +76% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $79 | −$78 | -98% |
| Raphinha: 1+ goals | Jun 20 | $13 | −$13 | -98% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals | Jun 20 | $4 | +$8 | +197% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $51 | +$15 | +30% |
| Bilal El Khannouss: 1+ goals | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals | Jun 19 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $57 | +$37 | +64% |
| Lawrence Shankland: 1+ goals | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Scott McTominay: 1+ goals | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 19 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Igor Thiago: 1+ goals | Jun 19 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 19 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Ismaël Koné: 1+ goals | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 19 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 19 | $46 | −$46 | -100% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ goals | Jun 19 | $10 | +$14 | +136% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ goals | Jun 19 | $10 | +$11 | +109% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $23 | +$18 | +76% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $41 | +$24 | +59% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $9 | +$21 | +227% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $42 | +$17 | +40% |
| Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $20 | +$22 | +114% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $30 | +$20 | +67% |