Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:45:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x67e8…2e6d
other · 272 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$229 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$229 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized+$229
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses154 / 112
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions6
Markets (closed)266 / 272
History coverage512d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit49%
Chart Positions 6 History 266 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25
7 days+$33
14 days+$54
30 days+$62
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+17%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-58%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 77¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer Yes 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer Yes 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic Novak Djokovic 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Felix Auger-Aliassime 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Nikoloz Basilashvili 30¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17? Yes 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $43 +$12 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $36 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $22 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$4 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$19 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +11%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 +$3 +55%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $8 +$3 +43%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $10 +$2 +16%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $6 +$2 +31%
Morocco vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $3 +$2 +55%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $12 +$2 +16%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $4 +$1 +31%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $26 +$12 +46%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $11 +$2 +20%
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $10 +$1 +8%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $8 +$3 +40%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $19 +$5 +25%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $3 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 04 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 04 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 03 $22 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 03 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 03 $11 +$2 +15%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $25 +$6 +22%
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $16 −$16 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $4 +$1 +24%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $6 −$6 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 01 $32 +$5 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 52% +$95
sports 39% +$78
crypto 8% +$48
politics 1% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -0.6% -10.1% 71% 57% +0.5%
≤30d 84 -1.1% -10.5% 70% 54% -3.8%
≤90d 209 -6.0% -14.9% 61% 50% -6.4%
all 266 -3.6% -12.7% 58% 48% -4.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.7% 48% -4.0%
10% -21.1% 38% -13.2%
15% -28.7% 24% -21.6%
20% -35.7% 18% -29.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.39 · official $26.39 (match) · 896 history records