Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x67f6…60b3
crypto · 1528 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$140 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$125 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$125
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses780 / 747
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1527 / 1528
History coverage10d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day205.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 1 History 1527 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$161
7 days−$104
14 days−$125
30 days−$125
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-99%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$17 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$28 +176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$14 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$7 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$11 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$11 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$19 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$13 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$27 +174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$9 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$54
other 6% −$86
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1154 +1.0% -8.6% 53% 53% -10.9%
≤30d 1527 +1.5% -8.1% 51% 51% -11.0%
≤90d 1527 +1.5% -8.1% 51% 51% -11.0%
all 1527 +1.5% -8.1% 51% 51% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover205.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 51% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 49% -19.5%
15% -24.9% 40% -27.3%
20% -32.3% 29% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.04 · official $10.43 · 3500 history records