Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:44:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x67f9…cf1a
crypto · 145 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$49 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$169 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$169
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses48 / 95
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)143 / 145
History coverage41d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day8.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 2 History 143 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$170
7 days−$334
14 days−$366
30 days−$151
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 56¢ 68¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$11 +272%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$14 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$9 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$5 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$7 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$7 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$7 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$33 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$4 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$10 +222%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$6 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$11 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$336
other 9% +$281
culture 3% −$50
tech 2% −$35
sports 1% −$7
politics 1% −$23
world 0% +$1
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $22 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $27 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $26 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-22.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 107 -17.3% -25.2% 41% 32% -21.1%
≤30d 136 -14.5% -22.6% 34% 26% -14.0%
≤90d 143 -14.8% -22.9% 34% 26% -14.4%
all 143 -14.8% -22.9% 34% 26% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.9% 26% -14.4%
10% -30.3% 20% -22.6%
15% -37.1% 15% -30.1%
20% -43.2% 13% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.08 · official $9.94 · 468 history records