Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:39:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x67fa…33dd
crypto · 182 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$37 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$39 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$101
Realized−$39
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses167 / 9
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)176 / 182
History coverage3d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day61.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 6 History 176 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$85
7 days−$39
14 days−$39
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by less than 10%? No 95¢ 98¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+3%)
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? No 98¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? No 98¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+2%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Yes 95¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 +$1 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $19 +$1 +4%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$21
finance 3% −$18
other 1% $0
politics 1% +$1
sports 1% +$1
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $15 52m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $15 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $15 1h
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $15 1h
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $20 1h
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $14 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $14 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 176 -1.9% -11.3% 95% 1% -10.9%
≤30d 176 -1.9% -11.3% 95% 1% -10.9%
≤90d 176 -1.9% -11.3% 95% 1% -10.9%
all 176 -1.9% -11.3% 95% 1% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 1% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 0% -19.5%
15% -27.5% 0% -27.2%
20% -34.6% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $100.59 · official $100.58 (match) · 358 history records