Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:02:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x67fa…1344
crypto · 1615 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1420 / 195
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1615 / 1615
History coverage116d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day15.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1615 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$1
14 days−$1
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 91¢ 94¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -3153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 218 +0.2% -9.4% 87% 72% -8.2%
≤30d 438 +1.4% -8.2% 87% 72% -7.9%
≤90d 615 +0.7% -8.8% 86% 70% -8.8%
all 1615 +0.3% -9.3% 88% 29% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 29% -9.5%
10% -18.0% 2% -18.1%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.89 · official $1.30 (match) · 3500 history records