Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:20:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x67ff…3214
sports · 327 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$829 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,342 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$1,342
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses165 / 161
Est. fees paid−$681
Open positions1
Markets (closed)326 / 327
History coverage59d
Avg bet$55
Trades / day22.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 326 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$340
7 days−$572
14 days−$703
30 days−$2,500
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Nottingham 2: Rei Sakamoto vs Yibing Wu Rei Sakamoto 3¢ 0¢ $13 $2 −$11 (-83%)
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Corentin Moutet 23¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungelliti Kyrian Jacquet 18¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Mayar Sherif 16¢ 0¢ $111 $0 −$111 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parks Alycia Parks 18¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Ella Seidel Ella Seidel 12¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Kaitlin Quevedo 13¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Istanbul: Andrej Nedic vs David Jorda Sanchis Andrej Nedic 17¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone Casper Ruud 14¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Tallon Griekspoor 19¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 15¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Petra Marcinko vs Eva Lys Petra Marcinko 19¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Makarska: Darja Semenistaja vs Maria Timofeeva Darja Semenistaja 6¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Atlanta Braves 8¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Casper Ruud 22¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals 8¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Adam Walton Adam Walton 20¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Ajla Tomljanovic Ajla Tomljanovic 9¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 9¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers 13¢ 0¢ $251 $0 −$251 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays 9¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Will Torino FC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? No 23¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 14 $61 −$60 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron Jun 14 $36 +$37 +102%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken Jun 14 $71 −$71 -99%
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Jun 14 $80 −$79 -98%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston Jun 13 $40 −$39 -98%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $87 $0 -0%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $74 −$72 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $42 +$86 +203%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $40 +$61 +153%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $50 −$49 -98%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $90 −$88 -98%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $39 −$38 -98%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $55 −$54 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $86 −$84 -98%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $105 +$107 +103%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $88 +$32 +36%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $69 −$67 -98%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $57 +$60 +106%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $50 −$49 -98%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $53 +$33 +62%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $44 +$38 +87%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $89 +$147 +166%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $38 +$19 +51%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 11 $113 −$111 -98%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $106 −$104 -99%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $107 −$76 -71%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $65 +$102 +157%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $45 +$44 +97%
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan Jun 10 $60 −$60 -100%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng Jun 10 $56 +$44 +78%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $55 +$72 +132%
Ilkley: Kayla Day vs Mary Stoiana Jun 09 $66 +$30 +45%
Cattolica: Gonzalo Bueno vs Francesco Forti Jun 09 $31 +$36 +115%
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm Jun 09 $55 −$53 -97%
Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan Jun 08 $158 −$155 -98%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $77 +$64 +84%
Modena: Xiyu Wang vs Laura Samson Jun 08 $67 +$45 +66%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Terence Atmane Jun 08 $45 −$45 -99%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $257 −$251 -98%
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Jun 07 $107 +$124 +116%
Makarska: Darja Semenistaja vs Maria Timofeeva Jun 07 $75 −$74 -99%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Hanyu Guo Jun 07 $62 +$92 +148%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova Jun 07 $45 +$68 +150%
Makarska: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Maria Timofeeva Jun 06 $79 +$45 +57%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 06 $89 −$86 -98%
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizu Jun 05 $62 +$66 +107%
Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro Midon Jun 05 $99 +$118 +119%
Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Mark Lajal Jun 05 $118 −$115 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$931
other 5% −$422
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Nottingham 2: Rei Sakamoto vs Yibing Wu BUY Rei Sakamoto 3¢ $5 26m
Nottingham 2: Rei Sakamoto vs Yibing Wu BUY Rei Sakamoto 3¢ $2 26m
Nottingham 2: Rei Sakamoto vs Yibing Wu BUY Rei Sakamoto 3¢ $6 26m
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 4¢ $4 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 8¢ $17 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 19¢ $40 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron SELL Marcos Giron 37¢ $73 3h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 15¢ $15 3h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 21¢ $21 3h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken BUY Aleksandar Vukic 8¢ $8 4h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken BUY Aleksandar Vukic 9¢ $9 4h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken BUY Aleksandar Vukic 25¢ $14 5h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken BUY Aleksandar Vukic 25¢ $7 5h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken BUY Aleksandar Vukic 25¢ $5 5h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken BUY Aleksandar Vukic 28¢ $15 5h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken BUY Aleksandar Vukic 28¢ $2 5h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken BUY Aleksandar Vukic 28¢ $2 5h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken BUY Aleksandar Vukic 28¢ $10 5h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Lorenzo Sonego 5¢ $11 5h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Lorenzo Sonego 7¢ $6 5h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Lorenzo Sonego 7¢ $1 5h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Lorenzo Sonego 11¢ $12 5h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Lorenzo Sonego 22¢ $23 5h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Lorenzo Sonego 27¢ $28 5h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston BUY Oksana Selekhmeteva 13¢ $40 22h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle SELL Jesper de Jong 37¢ $87 26h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 28¢ $11 27h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 32¢ $33 27h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 43¢ $43 27h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 3¢ $13 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-5.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 +36.2% +23.2% 44% 44% -27.9%
≤30d 212 -7.0% -15.8% 41% 38% -26.5%
≤90d 326 +4.7% -5.3% 51% 45% -16.5%
all 326 +4.7% -5.3% 51% 45% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.3% 45% -16.5%
10% ← realistic here -14.3% 40% -24.5%
15% -22.6% 38% -31.8%
20% -30.2% 34% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.18 · official $2.18 (match) · 1442 history records