Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:19:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

68
0x6807…c9f9
crypto · 55 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$21 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$30 · open +$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$82
Realized−$30
Unrealized+$10
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses32 / 22
Open positions1
Markets (closed)54 / 55
History coverage1d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day499.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 54 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days−$30
14 days−$30
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 64¢ 72¢ $72 $82 +$10 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$7 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$16 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$11 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $57 −$20 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $72 −$10 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $45 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $39 +$13 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$27 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $59 −$15 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $123 +$19 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$13 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $92 +$30 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $87 −$12 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $192 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $87 −$55 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $74 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $66 +$9 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$29 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $43 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $135 +$40 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $155 +$15 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $106 −$55 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$10 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$62 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$44 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $114 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $82 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$4 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$8 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $102 −$42 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$25 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$30 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $15 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $17 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $17 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $12 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 -4.6% -13.7% 59% 39% -10.7%
≤30d 54 -4.6% -13.7% 59% 39% -10.7%
≤90d 54 -4.6% -13.7% 59% 39% -10.7%
all 54 -4.6% -13.7% 59% 39% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover499.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 39% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 26% -19.3%
15% -29.5% 15% -27.1%
20% -36.4% 9% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $82.15 · official $72.02 · 527 history records