trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -24.3% | -31.5% | 40% | 40% | +37.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -24.3% | -31.5% | 40% | 40% | +37.5% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -24.3% | -31.5% | 40% | 40% | +37.5% |
| all | 106 | -13.1% | -21.4% | 49% | 41% | -15.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.4% | 41% | -15.0% |
| 10% | -28.9% | 32% | -23.1% |
| 15% | -35.8% | 25% | -30.5% |
| 20% | -42.1% | 17% | -37.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 2¢ | $1,875 | $3,516 | +$1,641 (+87%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 11¢ | $300 | $416 | +$116 (+39%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $300 | $326 | +$26 (+9%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | $300 | $237 | −$62 (-21%) |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $300 | $236 | −$64 (-21%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | No | 43¢ | 42¢ | $45 | $44 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $39 | −$38 | -98% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime? | Jun 17 | $43 | −$42 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $202 | +$101 | +50% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $203 | +$262 | +129% |
| Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers | Jan 21 | $105 | −$105 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Nets | Jan 21 | $133 | −$133 | -100% |
| Will West Ham win on 2024-10-27? | Oct 27 | $104 | −$104 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea win on 2024-10-27? | Oct 27 | $11 | +$9 | +79% |
| Rockets vs. Spurs | Oct 27 | $108 | −$108 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Grizzlies | Oct 27 | $107 | −$107 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Oct 27 | $130 | +$71 | +55% |
| Will Man City win on 2024-10-26? | Oct 26 | $135 | +$15 | +11% |
| Will Man City vs. Southampton end in a draw? | Oct 26 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Bournemouth win on 2024-10-26? | Oct 26 | $16 | +$4 | +28% |
| 76ers vs. Raptors | Oct 26 | $207 | −$97 | -47% |
| Suns vs. Lakers | Oct 26 | $84 | +$66 | +79% |
| Pacers vs. Knicks | Oct 26 | $132 | +$68 | +52% |
| Spurs vs. Mavericks | Oct 25 | $114 | +$36 | +32% |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Oct 25 | $114 | −$114 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Kings | Oct 25 | $52 | +$48 | +92% |
| Vikings vs. Rams | Oct 25 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Wizards | Oct 25 | $89 | +$11 | +12% |
| Bulls vs. Pelicans | Oct 24 | $106 | +$44 | +41% |
| Pacers vs. Pistons | Oct 24 | $65 | +$35 | +54% |
| Timberwolves vs. Lakers | Oct 23 | $49 | +$51 | +104% |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | Oct 23 | $136 | +$63 | +46% |
| Ravens vs. Buccaneers | Oct 22 | $98 | +$52 | +54% |
| Jets vs. Steelers | Oct 22 | $57 | −$57 | -100% |
| Will Man City win on 2024-10-20? | Oct 20 | $116 | +$34 | +30% |
| Will Manchester City beat Fulham? | Oct 05 | $80 | +$20 | +25% |
| Will Chelsea beat Crystal Palace? | Sep 02 | $646 | −$646 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United beat Liverpool? | Sep 02 | $76 | +$24 | +32% |
| Will Aston Villa beat Leicester City? | Sep 01 | $350 | −$350 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal beat Brighton? | Sep 01 | $449 | −$323 | -72% |
| Will Arsenal vs. Brighton end in a draw? | Sep 01 | $300 | +$147 | +49% |
| Who will eat more Hot Dogs in 10 minutes? | Aug 31 | $198 | $0 | +0% |
| US Open: Shelton vs. Tiafoe | Aug 31 | $951 | −$55 | -6% |
| Will Donald Trump say "tampon" during Michigan town hall? | Aug 30 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump say "Pavel" or "Durov" during Michigan town hall? | Aug 30 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump say "fake news" during Michigan town hall? | Aug 30 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump say "marxist" during Michigan town hall? | Aug 30 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during Michigan | Aug 30 | $26 | +$74 | +285% |
| Will Donald Trump say "border" 25 or more times during Michigan town h | Aug 30 | $84 | +$16 | +19% |
| Commanders vs. Patriots | Aug 26 | $568 | −$28 | -5% |
| Will Wolverhampton beat Chelsea? | Aug 25 | $64 | −$64 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea beat Wolverhampton? | Aug 25 | $92 | +$78 | +85% |
| Seahawks vs. Browns | Aug 25 | $503 | +$137 | +27% |
| Jets vs. Giants | Aug 25 | $777 | +$37 | +5% |
| Will Arsenal beat Aston Villa? | Aug 24 | $92 | −$92 | -100% |