Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:28:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

68
0x682c…1a37
crypto · 197 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$149 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$149 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$149
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses117 / 176
Whale WR (big bets)78%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)293 / 197
History coverage9d
Avg bet$138
Trades / day384.9
Drawdown87%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 293 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$672
7 days−$759
14 days+$149
30 days+$149
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,052
other 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $16 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $11 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $0 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 15m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-40.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 279 -36.6% -42.7% 39% 30% -12.5%
≤30d 293 -34.6% -40.8% 40% 30% -9.0%
≤90d 293 -34.6% -40.8% 40% 30% -9.0%
all 293 -34.6% -40.8% 40% 30% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover384.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -40.8% 30% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -46.5% 14% -17.7%
15% -51.6% 7% -25.7%
20% -56.4% 4% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records