Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:20:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

68
0x6832…831f
sports · 96 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$21,319 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18,156 · open −$3,251
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 8 History 272 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22,899
7 days−$18,156
14 days−$18,156
30 days−$18,156
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Verdant 54¢ 50¢ $9,076 $8,338 −$738 (-8%)
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? No 69¢ 100¢ $3,466 $4,999 +$1,534 (+44%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner ex-RUBY 39¢ 100¢ $458 $1,168 +$710 (+155%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 38¢ 34¢ $1,120 $1,024 −$97 (-9%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 86¢ 100¢ $794 $919 +$126 (+16%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage G2 Ares 34¢ 14¢ $468 $187 −$281 (-60%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner G2 Ares 38¢ 36¢ $162 $157 −$5 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage ex-RUBY 55¢ 86¢ $97 $154 +$57 (+59%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner ex-RUBY 66¢ 64¢ $71 $68 −$3 (-4%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 50¢ 50¢ $32 $31 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 49¢ $2,858 $29 −$2,829 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group A MARKandLARRY 15¢ $9 $5 −$4 (-43%)
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 1 Winner Abyssal 96¢ 94¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Yes 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+13%)
Will India win on 2026-06-09? No 78¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 38¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+163%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner FlyQuest 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+120%)
LoL: Shifters vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs Galions 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5) Liverpool FC 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-12? Yes 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+175%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina Elina Svitolina 28¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+253%)
Will Togo vs. Benin end in a draw? No 69¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+44%)
Will CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Ñublense end in a draw? No 78¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5 Under 55¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+82%)
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci Mattia Bellucci 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 12 $9,076 −$954 -10%
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? Jun 12 $3,466 +$1,534 +44%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $0 −$914 -16627173%
Will India win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $0 +$75 +28244%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $345 −$1,270 -368%
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $847 −$878 -104%
LoL: Shifters vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Play Jun 12 $105 −$119 -113%
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5) Jun 12 $484 −$509 -105%
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-12? Jun 12 $230 −$230 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina Jun 12 $36 −$80 -225%
Will Togo vs. Benin end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 −$6 -154%
Will CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Ñublense end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 12 $0 −$24 -7485%
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,375 −$2,327 -98%
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $162 −$393 -243%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs Jun 12 $422 −$392 -93%
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ryotaro Taguchi Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Oeiras 4: Petr Brunclik vs Jaime Faria Jun 12 $16 +$21 +130%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-01? Jun 12 $347 −$1,339 -386%
Brazzaville: Florent Bax vs Calvin Hemery Jun 12 $162 −$135 -83%
Will Ethiopia vs. Malawi end in a draw? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -96%
Spread: Pistons (-4.5) Jun 12 $1,225 −$931 -76%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Tajikistan vs. India end in a draw? Jun 12 $23 −$124 -547%
Will Armenia vs. Moldova end in a draw? Jun 12 $1,652 −$1,756 -106%
Will El Mokawloon El Arab SC win on 2026-05-18? Jun 12 $639 −$1,162 -182%
Geneva Open: Raul Brancaccio vs Stan Wawrinka Jun 12 $1,129 −$1,098 -97%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Nikola Bartunkova Jun 12 $78 −$71 -91%
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $215 −$218 -102%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 12 $1 +$157 +25215%
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs Jun 12 $50 −$29 -57%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $32 −$1,342 -4259%
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Jun 12 $1 −$27 -3024%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs Jun 12 $121 −$120 -99%
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $207 −$190 -92%
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $24 −$27 -114%
Modena: Xiyu Wang vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $0 +$10 +2917%
Will CS Cristal win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $198 −$207 -105%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Alexis Galar Jun 12 $217 −$216 -100%
Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega Jun 12 $403 −$86 -21%
Cervia: Stefan Dostanic vs Francesco Forti Jun 12 $573 −$378 -66%
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 12 $235 −$120 -51%
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $28 −$1 -3%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5 Jun 12 $11 −$14 -137%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $192 −$142 -74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% +$39,723
other 6% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY G2 Ares 14¢ $19 1m
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY G2 Ares 18¢ $19 2m
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY G2 Ares 17¢ $4 2m
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 Ares 47¢ $14 3m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $18 5m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $2 5m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $2 5m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $167 5m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $2 5m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $2 5m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $559 5m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $4 5m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $16 5m
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner SELL ex-RUBY 64¢ $13 7m
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner SELL ex-RUBY 64¢ $27 7m
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group SELL ex-RUBY 86¢ $75 7m
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group SELL ex-RUBY 86¢ $298 7m
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 1 Winner BUY Abyssal 96¢ $5 12m
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-RUBY 66¢ $102 13m
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-RUBY 66¢ $12 14m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 63¢ $191 21m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 62¢ $3 21m
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group SELL ex-RUBY 85¢ $66 21m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 56¢ $4 21m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 47¢ $15 22m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 47¢ $12 22m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 45¢ $9 22m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 45¢ $9 22m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 41¢ $16 22m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 47¢ $3 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-0.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 272 +10.4% -0.1% 22% 19% -12.1%
≤30d 272 +10.4% -0.1% 22% 19% -12.1%
≤90d 272 +10.4% -0.1% 22% 19% -12.1%
all 272 +10.4% -0.1% 22% 19% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1321.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.1% 19% -12.1%
10% -9.7% 15% -20.5%
15% ← realistic here -18.4% 12% -28.2%
20% -26.4% 10% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17,134.41 · official $17,085.60 (match) · 3500 history records