Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:59:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

68
0x6836…d72b
crypto · 1576 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$50 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$70 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$70
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1406 / 167
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1573 / 1576
History coverage99d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day20.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 3 History 1573 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$33
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 34¢ 42¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? No 44¢ 50¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 94¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$7 -76%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -28%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 04 $4 −$3 -71%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 04 $9 −$4 -50%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 04 $4 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 04 $9 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 04 $8 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 04 $12 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 04 $13 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 04 $13 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 04 $3 −$2 -69%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 04 $12 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 03 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 03 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 03 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 03 $8 +$1 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 03 $5 −$4 -79%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 03 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 03 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 03 $4 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 03 $4 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 03 $4 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 03 $3 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 03 $4 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% −$8
other 24% −$37
economics 2% −$23
finance 2% +$2
world 1% −$1
politics 1% $0
sports 0% −$2
tech 0% $0
culture 0% $0
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $4 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $4 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -3.5% -12.7% 91% 0% -13.4%
≤30d 281 -4.8% -13.9% 88% 6% -13.9%
≤90d 1547 -0.8% -10.2% 89% 12% -12.2%
all 1573 -0.8% -10.2% 89% 12% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 12% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 5% -20.4%
15% -26.7% 3% -28.1%
20% -33.9% 2% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.45 · official $3.45 (match) · 3500 history records