Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:22:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

68
0x683b…c863
sports · 251 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$106 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$239 · open −$347
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,473
Realized+$239
Unrealized−$347
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses74 / 65
Est. fees paid−$51
Open positions111
Markets (closed)139 / 251
History coverage7d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day63.6
Drawdown77%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 111 History 139 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$350
7 days+$294
14 days+$239
30 days+$239
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 83¢ 83¢ $130 $130 −$0 (-0%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 18¢ 19¢ $120 $126 +$6 (+5%)
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? No 34¢ 67¢ $50 $98 +$48 (+96%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 12? Yes 59¢ 99¢ $47 $79 +$32 (+68%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $60 $59 −$1 (-1%)
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? No 81¢ 93¢ $50 $58 +$8 (+16%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Yes 20¢ 39¢ $25 $49 +$24 (+96%)
Will FUT qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? No 56¢ 81¢ $30 $44 +$14 (+46%)
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? No 58¢ 80¢ $30 $42 +$12 (+38%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? No 65¢ 52¢ $50 $40 −$10 (-19%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC - Game 4 Winner Geek Fam ID 39¢ 50¢ $30 $38 +$8 (+27%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No 41¢ 61¢ $25 $37 +$12 (+49%)
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? No 51¢ 60¢ $30 $35 +$5 (+18%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 74¢ $30 $33 +$3 (+10%)
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 17¢ 18¢ $30 $33 +$3 (+9%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No 83¢ 89¢ $30 $32 +$2 (+7%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 8¢ 8¢ $30 $32 +$2 (+6%)
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? No 25¢ 26¢ $30 $32 +$2 (+6%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 56¢ 60¢ $30 $32 +$2 (+5%)
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 29¢ 30¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+4%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 50¢ 50¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 74¢ 88¢ $25 $30 +$5 (+20%)
Will Harry Kane score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 67¢ 66¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Yes 42¢ 50¢ $25 $29 +$4 (+18%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$10 +34%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Jun 12 $26 +$28 +108%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $25 +$13 +53%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $30 +$30 +99%
Will Google (GOOGL) close at <$350 on the final day of trading of the Jun 12 $30 +$5 +16%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $40 −$15 -36%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $31 +$30 +97%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $56 −$14 -26%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) Jun 12 $2 +$3 +155%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $11 +$2 +21%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $25 +$9 +38%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $42 +$7 +17%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 $0 -2%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $16 −$16 -99%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $25 +$4 +18%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$2 -34%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $25 +$11 +44%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $25 +$18 +69%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $14 +$9 +64%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $17 −$10 -58%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $11 +$3 +28%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $37 −$11 -31%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$29 +95%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$2 -45%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $33 −$2 -7%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13? Jun 12 $14 +$5 +37%
Rainbow Six Siege: Leviatán Esports vs Four Angry Men (BO3) - CN Leagu Jun 12 $9 −$3 -33%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality - Gam Jun 12 $50 −$30 -60%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $18 −$18 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $13 +$7 +59%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11? Jun 12 $46 −$20 -43%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $11 +$4 +33%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $17 +$23 +134%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15? Jun 12 $14 +$2 +18%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? Jun 12 $34 +$16 +48%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $50 +$12 +25%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 12? Jun 12 $50 +$9 +18%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in June? Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $31 −$30 -97%
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? Jun 12 $30 +$15 +51%
Spread: Hurricanes (-3.5) Jun 12 $30 −$30 -99%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $92 −$90 -98%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Rainbow Six Siege: Titan Esports Club vs One Coin (BO3) - CN League St Jun 11 $17 −$17 -98%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 11 $30 −$1 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 51% +$73
crypto 28% −$57
other 9% −$60
world 4% −$40
tech 3% −$11
politics 3% −$3
weather 1% +$6
finance 1% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 81¢ $25 9m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 96¢ $41 10m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 95¢ $54 11m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $31 11m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 44¢ $16 12m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Alexander Bublik 96¢ $39 12m
Will Erling Haaland score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 44¢ $14 33m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $61 34m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 34¢ $31 38m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 74¢ $25 41m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $30 41m
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5) SELL Paper Rex 99¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 95¢ $46 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 47¢ $25 1h
Will Google (GOOGL) close at <$350 on the final day of trading of the SELL No 96¢ $35 1h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina SELL Federico Cina 95¢ $38 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $61 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 96¢ $64 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 49¢ $31 1h
Will Google (GOOGL) close at <$350 on the final day of trading of the BUY No 83¢ $30 1h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $5 1h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 62¢ $25 1h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 95¢ $13 1h
Will Golden Knights win the 2026 Stanley Cup 4-3 be the exact series o BUY No 81¢ $4 1h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5) BUY Paper Rex 50¢ $3 1h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5) BUY Leviatán Esports 54¢ $3 1h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC - Game 3 Winner SELL ONIC 99¢ $5 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 24¢ $31 2h
Rainbow Six Siege: My Queen vs TYLOO (BO3) - CN League Stage 1 Group S BUY TYLOO 86¢ $7 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 129 +5.3% -4.8% 57% 56% -1.4%
≤30d 139 -0.9% -10.3% 53% 52% -3.1%
≤90d 139 -0.9% -10.3% 53% 52% -3.1%
all 139 -0.9% -10.3% 53% 52% -3.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover63.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 52% -3.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 43% -12.3%
15% -26.7% 36% -20.8%
20% -33.9% 29% -28.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,473.30 · official $2,475.16 (match) · 533 history records