trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | +29.5% | +17.2% | 52% | 48% | +22.3% |
| ≤30d | 36 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 39% | 36% | -17.7% |
| ≤90d | 36 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 39% | 36% | -17.7% |
| all | 36 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 39% | 36% | -17.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.9% | 36% | -17.7% |
| 10% | -20.3% | 36% | -25.6% |
| 15% | -28.0% | 36% | -32.8% |
| 20% | -35.1% | 28% | -39.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $30 | $27 | −$3 (-12%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $30 | $25 | −$5 (-16%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $30 | $24 | −$6 (-21%) |
| Spread: Colombia (-2.5) | Colombia | 16¢ | 16¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 6¢ | 4¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-25%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+13%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals | Jun 23 | $31 | +$66 | +216% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) AND Spread: France (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $26 | +$80 | +313% |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $20 | +$15 | +73% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $20 | +$10 | +48% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $51 | +$42 | +83% |
| Spread: Uruguay (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $10 | −$1 | -10% |
| Spread: Belgium (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $10 | −$1 | -9% |
| Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $51 | −$1 | -1% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $51 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $51 | +$47 | +93% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $66 | +$24 | +36% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $20 | +$37 | +180% |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spread: Brazil (-3.5) | Jun 19 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $20 | +$35 | +172% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $20 | +$54 | +262% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spread: Ghana (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $49 | −$49 | -99% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $98 | +$127 | +129% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$25 | +50% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $201 | −$200 | -99% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $12 | −$12 | -98% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $8 | −$4 | -50% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 13 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? | Jun 13 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $11 | −$1 | -13% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | Jun 12 | $20 | +$17 | +82% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |