| Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? |
Jun 09 |
$25 |
+$2 |
+9% |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awa |
Mar 19 |
$25 |
+$7 |
+27% |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? |
Mar 19 |
$10 |
−$10 |
-100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? |
Mar 19 |
$10 |
−$10 |
-100% |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? |
Mar 19 |
$50 |
−$50 |
-100% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap |
Mar 19 |
$50 |
+$12 |
+24% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31? |
Feb 05 |
$8 |
+$2 |
+30% |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? |
Jan 30 |
$30 |
−$3 |
-8% |
| Will there be at least 650 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 20 |
Jan 30 |
$30 |
+$28 |
+92% |
| TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026? |
Jan 29 |
$40 |
+$21 |
+52% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? |
Jan 28 |
$55 |
+$16 |
+30% |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? |
Jan 26 |
$30 |
+$1 |
+3% |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? |
Jan 26 |
$32 |
+$1 |
+3% |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? |
Jan 24 |
$37 |
−$3 |
-7% |
| Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? |
Jan 22 |
$20 |
+$1 |
+5% |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31? |
Jan 22 |
$30 |
+$2 |
+8% |
| Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January? |
Jan 21 |
$47 |
+$4 |
+8% |
| Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? |
Jan 21 |
$28 |
+$5 |
+16% |
| Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press confe |
Jan 20 |
$15 |
−$15 |
-100% |
| Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conferenc |
Jan 20 |
$20 |
−$20 |
-100% |
| Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 St |
Jan 20 |
$45 |
−$18 |
-40% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap |
Jan 20 |
$6 |
+$1 |
+13% |
| Grok 4.20 released by January 31? |
Jan 18 |
$49 |
+$90 |
+186% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO da |
Jan 15 |
$20 |
+$4 |
+21% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? |
Jan 15 |
$40 |
+$15 |
+38% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Jan 14 |
$45 |
+$8 |
+18% |
| Will Sinners win Best Original Score – Motion Picture at the 83rd Gold |
Jan 12 |
$25 |
+$6 |
+25% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 9? |
Jan 09 |
$10 |
+$3 |
+32% |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? |
Jan 08 |
$25 |
−$8 |
-31% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? |
Jan 08 |
$20 |
−$14 |
-70% |
| Maduro mugshot released by January 9? |
Jan 06 |
$25 |
+$8 |
+31% |
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? |
Jan 06 |
$25 |
+$1 |
+4% |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwid |
Jan 04 |
$20 |
+$3 |
+14% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? |
Jan 03 |
$20 |
−$20 |
-100% |
| Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in t |
Jan 03 |
$42 |
−$42 |
-100% |
| Will ARC Raiders win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards |
Jan 03 |
$15 |
+$4 |
+29% |
| Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Best Game You Suck At in the 2025 Ste |
Jan 03 |
$10 |
+$1 |
+12% |
| Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Soundtrack in the 2025 Steam |
Jan 03 |
$10 |
+$1 |
+10% |
| Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a- |
Jan 03 |
$15 |
+$6 |
+42% |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi |
Jan 02 |
$15 |
−$15 |
-99% |
| Will Baldur's Gate 3 win Labor of Love at the 2025 Steam Awards? |
Jan 02 |
$15 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Grok 4.20 released by December 31? |
Dec 31 |
$30 |
+$6 |
+22% |
| Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025? |
Dec 31 |
$15 |
−$1 |
-6% |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? |
Dec 30 |
$30 |
+$1 |
+2% |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship? |
Dec 30 |
$40 |
+$31 |
+78% |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? |
Dec 29 |
$10 |
+$1 |
+9% |
| Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events |
Dec 28 |
$40 |
+$10 |
+24% |
| Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President e |
Dec 28 |
$40 |
+$10 |
+25% |
| Will Donald Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 10+ times during Ukraine P |
Dec 28 |
$20 |
−$1 |
-6% |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship? |
Dec 28 |
$34 |
+$39 |
+114% |