Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:08:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

68
0x6859…99af
crypto · 876 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$62 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$62 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$62
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses520 / 356
Open positions0
Markets (closed)876 / 876
History coverage59d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day30.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 876 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days−$2
14 days−$24
30 days−$67
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$62
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 139 +0.1% -9.5% 83% 1% -9.7%
≤30d 373 -6.9% -15.7% 69% 6% -11.9%
≤90d 876 -2.8% -12.0% 59% 31% -10.7%
all 876 -2.8% -12.0% 59% 31% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 31% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 29% -19.2%
15% -28.1% 24% -27.0%
20% -35.2% 19% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2438 history records