trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 17% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 17% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 21 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 48% | 0% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.5% | 0% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -17.3% | 0% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -25.3% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -32.6% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $38 | $38 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 27 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 26 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | May 26 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 25 | $40 | −$1 | -4% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 24 | $35 | +$2 | +6% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Jul 15 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | Jun 27 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open? | Jun 07 | $5 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May? | Jun 01 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Aus | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 18 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pamela Bondi be out as Attorney General in Trump's first 100 days | Apr 16 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 14 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 13 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Xander Schauffele win The 2025 Masters? | Apr 11 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 10 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days? | Apr 07 | $19 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Apr 06 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Run | Apr 05 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 05 | $20 | $0 | +0% |