Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:32:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

68
0x689d…563c
crypto · 14 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$17 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses4 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)14 / 14
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day29.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$17
14 days−$17
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$11 +120%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$12 +168%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $11 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $21 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-50.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -45.2% -50.4% 29% 29% -29.7%
≤30d 14 -45.2% -50.4% 29% 29% -29.7%
≤90d 14 -45.2% -50.4% 29% 29% -29.7%
all 14 -45.2% -50.4% 29% 29% -29.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -50.4% 29% -29.7%
10% ← realistic here -55.1% 29% -36.4%
15% -59.5% 21% -42.6%
20% -63.4% 21% -48.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 31 history records