Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:23:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

68
0x68aa…ea5e
crypto · 404 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$37,342 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$37,394 · open +$52
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$902
Realized−$37,394
Unrealized+$52
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses329 / 73
Whale WR (big bets)91%
Est. fees paid−$361
Open positions2
Markets (closed)402 / 404
History coverage117d
Avg bet$3,161
Trades / day27.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 2 History 402 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$578
7 days+$997
14 days+$1,209
30 days−$46,132
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 93¢ 100¢ $650 $702 +$52 (+8%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 13? No 98¢ 98¢ $200 $201 +$1 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $1,980 +$20 +1%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $14,274 +$183 +1%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? Jun 12 $1,682 +$18 +1%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? Jun 12 $3,958 +$42 +1%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? Jun 12 $3,315 +$43 +1%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? Jun 12 $1,366 +$8 +1%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T? Jun 12 $987 +$13 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1,123 +$16 +1%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $890 +$4 +0%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2,098 +$224 +11%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $1,001 +$12 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $200 +$4 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $127 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $5,370 +$37 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $663 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $3,087 +$49 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $3,075 +$27 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,711 +$11 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $5,563 +$28 +0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? Jun 10 $16 $0 +1%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? Jun 10 $3,692 −$24 -1%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $985 +$15 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $890 +$7 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $90 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $6,180 −$145 -2%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $94 +$6 +6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $4,293 +$19 +0%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $3,001 +$50 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $4,387 +$31 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $2,955 +$39 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $9,534 +$224 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $3,665 +$24 +1%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $787 +$9 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on June 6? Jun 07 $231 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $2,983 +$18 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $226 +$8 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5? Jun 06 $11,120 +$132 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 5? Jun 06 $644 +$5 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 5? Jun 06 $7,480 +$152 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 05 $100 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5? Jun 04 $4,748 +$144 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $2,883 +$156 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $1,061 +$22 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8? Jun 04 $721 +$1 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June? Jun 04 $193 +$4 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 8? Jun 04 $1,880 −$20 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $6,448 +$116 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 04 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 04 $20 −$20 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 36% +$2,255
sports 31% +$3,518
world 14% −$49,031
other 12% +$4,485
finance 6% +$1,330
tech 1% +$101
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $200 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 96¢ $200 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 94¢ $200 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 93¢ $200 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 76¢ $50 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $980 12h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $458 12h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $19 12h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $257 12h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $246 12h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 47¢ $20 14h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $14,457 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $930 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $746 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $29 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $115 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $90 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $445 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $82 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $107 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $62 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $102 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $0 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $20 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $20 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $20 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $842 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $42 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $26 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -1.6% -10.9% 91% 3% -8.6%
≤30d 121 -16.7% -24.7% 71% 7% -18.7%
≤90d 318 -6.7% -15.6% 80% 6% -13.0%
all 402 -3.4% -12.6% 82% 5% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.2 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 5% -12.2%
10% -21.0% 4% -20.6%
15% ← realistic here -28.6% 4% -28.2%
20% -35.6% 3% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $902.27 · official $902.27 (match) · 3500 history records