| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? |
Jun 29 |
$64 |
−$64 |
-100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026? |
Jun 27 |
$283 |
+$17 |
+6% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? |
Jun 18 |
$83 |
+$4 |
+5% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? |
Jun 18 |
$2,820 |
+$250 |
+9% |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? |
Jun 16 |
$503 |
+$6 |
+1% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 12, 2026? |
Jun 15 |
$2,002 |
+$37 |
+2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? |
Jun 14 |
$3,109 |
+$126 |
+4% |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 12, 2026? |
Jun 13 |
$596 |
+$8 |
+1% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026? |
Jun 12 |
$1,607 |
+$187 |
+12% |
| Will next Claude Mythos debut on the Text Arena Leaderboard at 1510+? |
Jun 11 |
$538 |
+$10 |
+2% |
| Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut |
Jun 11 |
$1,493 |
+$20 |
+1% |
| Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut |
Jun 11 |
$1,121 |
+$40 |
+4% |
| Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut |
Jun 11 |
$609 |
+$27 |
+4% |
| Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? |
Jun 11 |
$51 |
+$11 |
+22% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? |
Jun 09 |
$46 |
−$46 |
-100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard deb |
Jun 08 |
$1,693 |
+$67 |
+4% |
| Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard deb |
Jun 08 |
$164 |
+$1 |
+1% |
| Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard deb |
Jun 08 |
$20 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard deb |
Jun 08 |
$1,775 |
+$11 |
+1% |
| Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard deb |
Jun 08 |
$3,193 |
+$114 |
+4% |
| Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard deb |
Jun 08 |
$1,938 |
+$46 |
+2% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? |
Jun 08 |
$36 |
−$35 |
-100% |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026? |
Jun 01 |
$680 |
+$20 |
+3% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? |
Jun 01 |
$70 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? |
Jun 01 |
$789 |
+$4 |
+0% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? |
May 31 |
$1,530 |
+$62 |
+4% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026? |
May 31 |
$3,498 |
+$511 |
+15% |
| Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher world |
May 25 |
$82 |
+$18 |
+22% |
| Will any AI model reach 1525 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? |
May 21 |
$198 |
+$2 |
+1% |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? |
May 21 |
$156 |
+$2 |
+2% |
| Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut |
May 20 |
$297 |
+$3 |
+1% |
| Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut |
May 20 |
$742 |
+$15 |
+2% |
| Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut |
May 20 |
$24 |
+$1 |
+4% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released prior to May 18, 2026? |
May 20 |
$330 |
+$7 |
+2% |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? |
May 19 |
$1,504 |
−$321 |
-21% |
| Gemini 3.5 released by June 30? |
May 19 |
$270 |
−$51 |
-19% |
| Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026? |
May 19 |
$711 |
+$5 |
+1% |
| Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut |
May 19 |
$1,465 |
+$65 |
+4% |
| Gemini 3.5 released by July 31? |
May 19 |
$31 |
−$23 |
-74% |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026? |
May 19 |
$675 |
+$16 |
+2% |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026? |
May 18 |
$654 |
+$1 |
+0% |
| Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026? |
May 15 |
$544 |
+$30 |
+6% |
| Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490? |
May 10 |
$117 |
+$1 |
+1% |
| Will gemini-3-pro have the best AI model on May 8, 2026? |
May 08 |
$5 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026? |
May 08 |
$457 |
+$10 |
+2% |
| Will gemini-3-pro be the best AI model on May 1, 2026? |
May 01 |
$49 |
+$1 |
+2% |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on May 1, 2026? |
May 01 |
$1,100 |
+$147 |
+13% |
| Will gemini-3.1-pro-preview be the best AI model on May 1, 2026? |
May 01 |
$49 |
+$1 |
+2% |
| Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on May 1, 2026? |
May 01 |
$708 |
+$130 |
+18% |
| Will gpt-5.4-high be the best AI model on May 1, 2026? |
May 01 |
$49 |
+$1 |
+2% |