trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -50.1% | -54.9% | 33% | 33% | -41.1% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -42.4% | -47.9% | 40% | 40% | -43.3% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +6.5% | -3.7% | 56% | 56% | +14.6% |
| all | 9 | +6.5% | -3.7% | 56% | 56% | +14.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -3.7% | 56% | +14.6% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -12.9% | 56% | +3.7% |
| 15% | -21.3% | 56% | -6.4% |
| 20% | -29.0% | 33% | -15.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 72¢ | 72¢ | $5,386 | $5,349 | −$37 (-1%) |
| Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 76¢ | 74¢ | $3,006 | $2,921 | −$85 (-3%) |
| Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 66¢ | 58¢ | $1,567 | $1,396 | −$171 (-11%) |
| Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 53¢ | 36¢ | $406 | $276 | −$130 (-32%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 2 Colombia? | Jun 18 | $4,699 | −$4,699 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? | Jun 18 | $6,077 | −$6,077 | -100% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $8,304 | +$4,122 | +50% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $7,845 | −$7,656 | -98% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 30 | $5,703 | +$2,195 | +38% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? | Apr 15 | $28,552 | +$22,680 | +79% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | Apr 11 | $9,000 | +$6,859 | +76% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | Apr 08 | $7,102 | −$1,310 | -18% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? | Apr 08 | $4,200 | +$5,578 | +133% |