Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:33:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
68 0x68e0…da98 crypto 1748 markets active 3d ago coverage 28d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 27d only
✗ bot/MM pace (64 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$50 (+1%) realized +$50 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate86%1496W / 252L
Drawdown92%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day64.1pace
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$75
14 days+$1
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% +$57
other 4% −$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (64 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 277 -4.3% -13.4% 82% 51% -13.8%
≤30d 1727 -0.1% -9.6% 85% 51% -9.4%
≤90d 1748 +0.0% -9.5% 86% 51% -9.3%
all 1748 +0.0% -9.5% 86% 51% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover64.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 51% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 24% -18.0%
15% -26.1% 7% -25.9%
20% -33.3% 2% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
35% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.17 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.02 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$50
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses1496 / 252
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1748 / 1748
History coverage28d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day64.1
Drawdown92%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1748 Trades
no open positions (51 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $9 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $9 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $6 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $8 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $6 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $6 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $6 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $9 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $6 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records