trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 21% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 16 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 19% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 25 | $80 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 05 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 29 | $81 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 21 | $81 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 19 | $81 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $81 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 14 | $81 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | May 11 | $80 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 05 | $80 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 17 | $82 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 11 | $82 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 07 | $82 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 29 | $82 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? | Mar 20 | $82 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 17 | $82 | $0 | +0% |