Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:27:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

68
0x68f6…9533
crypto · 484 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4,822 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,822 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$4,822
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses478 / 6
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)484 / 484
History coverage4d
Avg bet$286
Trades / day845.7
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 484 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,779
7 days+$4,822
14 days+$4,822
30 days+$4,822
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $193 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1,533 +$61 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $290 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $391 +$9 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $292 +$8 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $390 +$10 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $393 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $197 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $398 +$8 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $178 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $296 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $197 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $229 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $393 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1,267 +$33 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $197 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $129 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $148 +$24 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $96 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $193 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2,310 +$50 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $89 +$11 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$53 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $73 +$127 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $375 +$124 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $196 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $585 +$15 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $170 +$30 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $254 +$46 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $178 +$122 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $641 +$158 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $389 +$20 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $317 +$1,683 +531%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $939 +$161 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$4,822
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $97 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $96 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $42 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $97 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $47 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $48 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $80 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $23 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $11 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $24 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $34 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $16 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $21 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $15 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $43 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $22 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $58 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $14 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $19 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $47 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $36 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 24m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 484 +2.8% -7.0% 99% 2% -6.4%
≤30d 484 +2.8% -7.0% 99% 2% -6.4%
≤90d 484 +2.8% -7.0% 99% 2% -6.4%
all 484 +2.8% -7.0% 99% 2% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover845.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 2% -6.4%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 1% -15.3%
15% -24.0% 1% -23.5%
20% -31.5% 1% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records