Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:38:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

68
0x68f7…d428
crypto · 961 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$204 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$204 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$204
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses458 / 503
Open positions0
Markets (closed)961 / 961
History coverage8d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day419.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 961 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days−$60
14 days−$204
30 days−$204
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$6 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$204
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $9 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $9 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $7 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $11 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $9 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $16 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $9 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 754 -0.6% -10.0% 49% 28% -10.0%
≤30d 961 -1.4% -10.8% 48% 28% -10.9%
≤90d 961 -1.4% -10.8% 48% 28% -10.9%
all 961 -1.4% -10.8% 48% 28% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover419.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 28% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 13% -19.4%
15% -27.1% 7% -27.2%
20% -34.3% 3% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records