trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 3 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 21 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 86% | 0% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.8% | 0% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -18.5% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -33.6% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $68 | $68 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? | Jun 08 | $27,065 | +$28 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May? | Jun 08 | $638 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May? | Jun 08 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? | May 21 | $4,980 | +$5 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May? | May 20 | $852 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | May 05 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP dip to $0.40 in April? | May 05 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? | May 05 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana reach $160 in April? | May 05 | $50 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March? | Apr 03 | $154 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | Mar 20 | $154 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru | Mar 04 | $154 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | Feb 25 | $154 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | Feb 11 | $154 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6? | Feb 08 | $153 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on February 4 | Feb 05 | $152 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on February 3 | Feb 04 | $152 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua | Feb 02 | $151 | +$1 | +1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Jan 18 | $7 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January? | Jan 18 | $135 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 13 | $12 | $0 | -2% |