Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:40:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6902…b4ca
sports · 245 markets active 6h ago
7.5score
+$95,465 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$92,897 · open −$3,158
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$75,455
Realized+$92,897
Unrealized−$3,158
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses131 / 103
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$10,091
Open positions11
Markets (closed)234 / 245
History coverage422d
Avg bet$4,917
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 11 History 234 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32,979
7 days+$39,232
14 days+$47,157
30 days+$95,404
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 78¢ 81¢ $18,286 $19,104 +$818 (+4%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 47¢ 40¢ $22,597 $18,828 −$3,769 (-17%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 67¢ 66¢ $10,500 $10,265 −$235 (-2%)
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 97¢ 97¢ $10,000 $9,983 −$17 (-0%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 45¢ 42¢ $5,000 $4,722 −$278 (-6%)
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) TheMongolz 40¢ 36¢ $5,000 $4,562 −$438 (-9%)
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 6¢ 8¢ $2,000 $2,997 +$997 (+50%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 15¢ 34¢ $1,230 $2,729 +$1,499 (+122%)
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 10¢ 5¢ $2,000 $1,045 −$955 (-48%)
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 9¢ 5¢ $1,000 $610 −$390 (-39%)
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1,000 $608 −$391 (-39%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A PARIVISION 71¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Voca 32¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 68¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs Spirit 79¢ 0¢ $8,000 $0 −$8,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 TheMongolz 39¢ 0¢ $4,000 $0 −$4,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage EYEBALLERS 42¢ 0¢ $2,948 $0 −$2,948 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) Team Falcons 40¢ 0¢ $1,500 $0 −$1,500 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MIBR 35¢ 0¢ $3,000 $0 −$3,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B Team Falcons 76¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 30¢ 0¢ $3,000 $0 −$3,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 52¢ 0¢ $4,200 $0 −$4,200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Voca 16¢ 0¢ $1,950 $0 −$1,950 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In BC.Game Esports 46¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 M80 51¢ 0¢ $3,500 $0 −$3,500 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $15,144 +$6,915 +46%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 13 $5,707 +$9,604 +168%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $8,698 +$5,173 +60%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $13,115 +$5,346 +41%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $9,070 +$3,092 +34%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $5,781 −$5,700 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $6,067 +$3,494 +58%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10,112 +$5,055 +50%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $5,090 −$5,000 -98%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $16,591 −$16,400 -99%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 Jun 12 $305 −$300 -98%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) Jun 11 $508 +$24 +5%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $9,264 +$5,056 +55%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 11 $10,099 −$10,000 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5,066 −$5,000 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10,111 +$5,744 +57%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 11 $508 +$35 +7%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $6,067 +$3,457 +57%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10,076 +$3,323 +33%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 10 $4,261 −$4,200 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $6,385 +$5,069 +79%
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 09 $3,064 −$3,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $6,097 −$6,000 -98%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 08 $5,389 +$6,656 +124%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $7,038 +$4,984 +71%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10,121 +$6,624 +65%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $6,083 +$5,028 +83%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 07 $10,103 +$5,125 +51%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $3,057 +$5,027 +164%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $3,051 +$3,925 +129%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $7,065 +$3,080 +44%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 07 $10,084 +$3,805 +38%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 06 $5 +$8 +165%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $3,047 +$3,233 +106%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $5,057 +$3,008 +60%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $5,064 +$3,615 +71%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $3,063 −$3,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $5,064 −$5,000 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $4,071 −$4,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $5,075 −$5,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $6,247 −$6,175 -99%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $5,057 +$3,039 +60%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $6,184 +$5,112 +83%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $5,781 +$5,094 +88%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $3,055 −$3,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $3,043 +$2,726 +90%
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 03 $3,045 +$2,955 +97%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 03 $5,046 +$2,165 +43%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $5,070 +$4,363 +86%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 03 $5,079 −$5,000 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$92,073
other 3% −$2,724
politics 0% +$390
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY TheMongolz 40¢ $5,090 6h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY Vitality 78¢ $18,407 6h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 45¢ $5,082 6h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 67¢ $10,604 6h
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 40¢ $5,091 10h
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 97¢ $10,010 12h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 68¢ $15,144 13h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY FURIA 36¢ $4,077 19h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 74¢ $9,070 31h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY FURIA 38¢ $1,630 31h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 62¢ $8,698 31h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 52¢ $5,781 31h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $13,115 34h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 40¢ $5,090 2d
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 61¢ $16,591 2d
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 BUY Under 47¢ $305 2d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $10,112 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $10,099 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $5,066 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 63¢ $6,067 2d
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 46¢ $508 3d
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) BUY Spirit 47¢ $508 3d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 75¢ $10,076 3d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Aurora Gaming 63¢ $6,067 3d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $9,264 3d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $10,111 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 52¢ $4,261 3d
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $515 4d
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $1,028 4d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 55¢ $6,385 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 +14.0% +3.1% 69% 62% +7.5%
≤30d 77 +17.4% +6.2% 65% 62% +8.6%
≤90d 152 +6.8% -3.4% 59% 57% +3.5%
all 234 +2.0% -7.7% 56% 55% -1.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 55% -1.6%
10% ← realistic here -16.6% 52% -11.0%
15% -24.6% 49% -19.6%
20% -32.0% 40% -27.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $75,455.05 · official $75,457.39 (match) · 441 history records