Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:11:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6904…ea7e
crypto · 151 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$639 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$639 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$639
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses25 / 126
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)151 / 151
History coverage38d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day11.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 0 History 151 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days+$4
14 days−$66
30 days−$1,072
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? Jun 12 $11 −$9 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? Jun 11 $11 −$3 -31%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 11 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$15 +275%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Jun 07 $338 +$27 +8%
Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Jun 06 $0 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Jun 04 $2 −$1 -46%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $44 +$8 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $41 −$31 -75%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $11 −$11 -100%
Perugia (Doubles): Diez/Lopez vs Seggerman/Winegar Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 03 $1 +$3 +266%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, Jun 03 $5 −$4 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 03 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June Jun 02 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June Jun 02 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $10 −$8 -76%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 01 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 01 $31 −$31 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 01 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026? May 31 $41 +$111 +271%
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026? May 29 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $37 +$23 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET May 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $105 −$104 -99%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? May 29 $10 −$3 -33%
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in May 2026? May 28 $23 +$12 +54%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 27 $38 −$38 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 40% +$129
crypto 26% −$347
politics 18% +$42
world 13% −$419
sports 1% −$14
weather 1% −$19
tech 1% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? SELL No 0¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? BUY No 1¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 28h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? SELL No 1¢ $8 28h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? BUY No 1¢ $11 34h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 3¢ $2 35h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 3¢ $0 35h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 3¢ $0 35h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 3¢ $1 35h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 3¢ $0 35h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 3¢ $5 35h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 3¢ $8 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $20 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-47.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -47.1% -52.2% 21% 11% -8.6%
≤30d 121 -63.3% -66.8% 14% 11% -45.3%
≤90d 151 -41.7% -47.2% 17% 14% -27.6%
all 151 -41.7% -47.2% 17% 14% -27.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -47.2% 14% -27.6%
10% -52.3% 13% -34.5%
15% -56.9% 12% -40.8%
20% -61.1% 11% -46.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 572 history records