Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:40:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
69 0x6911…12dd crypto 1227 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (529 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$35 (-2%) realized −$35 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate89%1096W / 130L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day529.2pace
Kalshi-fit84%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 79% −$52
other 21% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (529 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1226 -3.1% -12.3% 89% 2% -11.2%
≤30d 1226 -3.1% -12.3% 89% 2% -11.2%
≤90d 1226 -3.1% -12.3% 89% 2% -11.2%
all 1226 -3.1% -12.3% 89% 2% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover529.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 2% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 0% -19.7%
15% -28.4% 0% -27.4%
20% -35.4% 0% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
96% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.61 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$35
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1096 / 130
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1226 / 1227
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day529.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1226 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 38 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -80%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 16m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 20m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 27m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 30m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 35m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 46m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 46m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 51m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 51m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.03 · official $0.97 (match) · 2416 history records