Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:17:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6926…152d
sports · 1010 markets active 3h ago
5.5score
+$3,852 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,358 · open −$506
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,072
Realized+$4,358
Unrealized−$506
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses650 / 352
Whale WR (big bets)93%
Est. fees paid−$772
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1002 / 1010
History coverage86d
Avg bet$135
Trades / day18.7
Drawdown71%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 8 History 1002 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$137
7 days+$989
14 days+$1,134
30 days+$2,520
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) T1 91¢ 100¢ $800 $881 +$81 (+10%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 76¢ 100¢ $100 $132 +$32 (+32%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-5%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) T1 71¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 43¢ 0¢ $158 $0 −$158 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 52¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming Youth Team 59¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming Youth Team 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 1 - 1 West Ham United FC? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs LOUD 49¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming 53¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Cloud9 44¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 66¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Team Secret Whales 67¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 Over 56¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 54¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 40¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner GAM Esports 54¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 1 - 1 Liverpool FC? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 Over 68¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 BNK FearX Youth 45¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 0 Burnley FC? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner G2 Esports 65¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $51 +$47 +93%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $38 −$37 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $201 +$22 +11%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $50 +$20 +40%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas Jun 11 $818 +$28 +3%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $201 +$22 +11%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $100 +$13 +13%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $33 −$33 -99%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $30 −$30 -99%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G Jun 10 $20 +$27 +134%
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Team Heretics Academy (+1.5) Jun 10 $50 +$21 +42%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $201 +$37 +19%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 10 $501 +$37 +7%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $51 +$33 +66%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 10 $20 −$20 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $27 −$27 -98%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Partizan Sangal (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss S Jun 08 $21 −$21 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $99 +$75 +76%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $903 +$103 +11%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $6 +$14 +226%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $50 +$22 +44%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $502 +$66 +13%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $387 +$192 +50%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $59 +$33 +57%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $60 −$59 -99%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $33 −$32 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $61 +$32 +52%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $51 −$50 -99%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $35 −$35 -99%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $50 −$50 -99%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $101 −$100 -99%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $50 +$20 +40%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $51 +$56 +109%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 07 $504 +$160 +32%
Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5) Jun 07 $30 +$23 +75%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $101 +$38 +38%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $51 −$50 -99%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $57 +$30 +52%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $51 +$25 +50%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $51 −$50 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $15 −$15 -98%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $30 +$27 +90%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $51 +$44 +86%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $50 +$18 +36%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs Jun 06 $101 +$46 +46%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $50 +$21 +42%
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) Jun 06 $31 +$48 +158%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$3,570
other 3% +$282
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 27¢ $8 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $61 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 40¢ $38 3h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 76¢ $101 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $51 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $51 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $51 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $101 6h
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY T1 68¢ $101 7h
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) BUY T1 88¢ $301 11h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 90¢ $201 22h
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 7¢ $10 22h
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 22h
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 89¢ $100 28h
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 90¢ $201 29h
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas BUY KT Rolster Challengers 97¢ $818 29h
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner BUY Weibo Gaming Youth Team 59¢ $33 30h
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner BUY Weibo Gaming Youth Team 66¢ $30 32h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia BUY Top Esports Challenger 71¢ $50 32h
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) BUY T1 92¢ $501 35h
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY T1 72¢ $101 35h
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Team Heretics Academy (+1.5) BUY Team Heretics Academy 70¢ $50 45h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G BUY Team Heretics Academy 42¢ $20 45h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 84¢ $201 46h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BUY Misa Esports 93¢ $501 46h
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W BUY EDward Gaming Youth Team 64¢ $20 2d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $27 2d
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $21 2d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $21 2d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $21 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 +3.9% -6.0% 66% 63% +3.0%
≤30d 363 +1.8% -7.9% 65% 63% -4.8%
≤90d 1002 +0.9% -8.7% 65% 62% -6.6%
all 1002 +0.9% -8.7% 65% 62% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.7% 62% -6.6%
10% -17.5% 55% -15.5%
15% -25.4% 43% -23.7%
20% -32.7% 27% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,072.07 · official $1,072.07 (match) · 2270 history records