trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -52.6% | -57.1% | 22% | 22% | -49.1% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -52.6% | -57.1% | 22% | 22% | -49.1% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -34.7% | -40.9% | 30% | 30% | -34.1% |
| all | 12 | -26.7% | -33.7% | 33% | 33% | -28.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -33.7% | 33% | -28.6% |
| 10% | -40.0% | 33% | -35.4% |
| 15% | -45.8% | 33% | -41.7% |
| 20% | -51.1% | 25% | -47.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 29 | $505 | +$254 | +50% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $1,553 | −$906 | -58% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Jun 29 | $1,547 | −$423 | -27% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $306 | −$223 | -73% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Jun 29 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime sho | Jun 29 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | Jun 29 | $512 | −$512 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | Jun 29 | $460 | −$460 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $403 | +$307 | +76% |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | May 19 | $512 | +$648 | +126% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | Feb 09 | $400 | +$143 | +36% |
| Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Feb 08 | $800 | −$72 | -9% |