trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 0% | 0% | -11.0% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 0% | 0% | -11.0% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 0% | 0% | -11.0% |
| all | 23 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 39% | 4% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.2% | 4% | -10.1% |
| 10% | -24.2% | 4% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -31.5% | 0% | -26.6% |
| 20% | -38.3% | 0% | -33.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $85 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 12 | $10 | −$2 | -18% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | Jun 10 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 10 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea el | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Han Dong-hoon win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elec | Jun 05 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Rangers win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 19 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 | Apr 14 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April? | Apr 13 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 13 | $13 | +$1 | +9% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | Apr 09 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July? | Apr 08 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025 | Apr 07 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend | Apr 07 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championshi | Apr 06 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Susan Crawford win by 8-10%? | Apr 05 | $2 | +$1 | +33% |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? | Apr 04 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb | Apr 02 | $26 | $0 | -0% |