Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T18:32:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
69 0x6938…ad0e crypto 805 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 5d only
✗ bot/MM pace (170 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$1,088 (+8%) realized +$1,088 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%796W / 9L
Drawdown28%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day170.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit89%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 89% +$83
other 11% −$6
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (170 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 805 +0.4% -9.2% 99% 0% -9.0%
≤30d 805 +0.4% -9.2% 99% 0% -9.0%
≤90d 805 +0.4% -9.2% 99% 0% -9.0%
all 805 +0.4% -9.2% 99% 0% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover170.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 0% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 0% -17.7%
15% -25.8% 0% -25.7%
20% -33.1% 0% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$10 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.84 per $1 lost it wins $1.84
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$1,088
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses796 / 9
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)805 / 805
History coverage5d ⚠
Avg bet$17
Trades / day170.2
Drawdown28%
Kalshi-fit89%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 805 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 18 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 18 $20 −$20 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $17 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 18 $12 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 18 $18 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $19 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 22m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $17 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 53m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 53m
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 58m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $19 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $17 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.80 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records